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POL Polen - III Liga · Final ·

Elana Torun vs Unia Swarzedz

Prediction review

Thuis form
Final score2–3Voorspelling 1–1
Uit form
Thuiswinst33%
Gelijkspel24%
Uitwinst43%
Full model forecastUitwinstTier A · 43% selection probability
Prediction Gewonnen
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Market-aware blend leans AWAY; raw model leaned HOME Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callUitwinst43% selection probability
Projected score1–1Elana TorunUnia Swarzedz
Expected goals2.49Balanced match profile
Goals 2.5Onder55% for the selected side
Beide teams scorenJa51% for the selected side
Expected corners10.1Boven 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketSelectieWaarschijnlijkheidEerlijke odds
33% / 24% / 43%WedstrijdresultaatUitwinst43%2.33
Derived from 1X2 · excludes draw (24.2%)Dubbele Kans1275.8%1.32
Boven 45% · Onder 55%Goals 2.5Onder55%1.82
Ja 51% · Nee 49%Beide teams scorenJa51%1.96
2.49 total expected goalsExacte score1–1
10.1 expected match cornersHoekschoppenBoven 9.5
Price comparison

Published forecast vs reference market

Reference odds are converted to normalized probabilities. The gap is descriptive and is not a claim of guaranteed value.

Displayed margin11.8%Largest probability gapUnia Swarzedz winDifference-0.6 pp
OutcomeVoorspellingEerlijke oddsReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
Elana Torun win33%3.032.7532.5%+0.5 pp
Gelijkspel24%4.173.7523.8%+0.2 pp
Unia Swarzedz win43%2.332.0543.6%-0.6 pp

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Elana Torun1.32

Thuis share of expected goals 53%

Total expected goals2.49Balanced

Dedicated goals model: Boven 45% · Onder 55%

Unia Swarzedz1.17

Uit share of expected goals 47%

Projected score1–1BTTS splitJa 51% · Nee 49%Match profileBalanced
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Thuis-context · form sequence

Elana Torun

1.60pts / match
Gespeeld5Wins2Drawn2Losses1Punten8

SignalThuis unbeaten 4/5

Uit-context · form sequence

Unia Swarzedz

1.20pts / match
Gespeeld5Wins2Drawn0Losses3Punten6

SignalThuis matches over 2.5: 4/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
33%
Gewonnen probability excluding draw
43%
8
Points from supplied form
6
1.32
Expected goals
1.17
Elana TorunUnia Swarzedz
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Market-aware blend leans AWAY; raw model leaned HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Elana Torun signalThuis unbeaten 4/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Unia Swarzedz signalThuis matches over 2.5: 4/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk57% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Gelijkspel probability alone is 24%.

Match questions

Elana Torun vs Unia Swarzedz FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Uitwinst · Projected score 1–1 · 43% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Elana Torun gewonnen 33%,Gelijkspel 24%,Unia Swarzedz gewonnen 43%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 2.49 · Boven 2.5 45% · Current selection Onder