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Djurgarden vs Mjällby AIF

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Home form
Projected score2–12.82 expected goals
Away form
Home win46%
Draw27%
Away win26%
Full model forecastHome winTier A · 46% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Calibrated Dixon-Coles leans HOME Compare the forecast probabilities, fair prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callHome win46% selection probability
Projected score2–1DjurgardenMjällby AIF
Expected goals2.82Balanced match profile
Goals 2.5Over54% for the selected side
Both teams scoreYes55% for the selected side
Expected corners10.4Over 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketSelectionProbabilityFair odds
46% / 27% / 26%Match resultHome win46%2.17
Derived from 1X2 · excludes Mjällby AIF win (26.1%)Double chance1X73.9%1.35
Over 54% · Under 46%Goals 2.5Over54%1.85
Yes 55% · No 45%Both teams scoreYes55%1.82
2.82 total expected goalsCorrect score2–1
10.4 expected match cornersCornersOver 9.5
Probability view

Forecast probabilities and fair odds

No snapshot-bound 1X2 price was available for this forecast, so this page does not show a market comparison or probability-gap claim.

OutcomeForecast probabilityFair odds
Djurgarden win46%2.17
Draw27%3.70
Mjällby AIF win26%3.85

Fair odds are calculated directly from the published forecast probabilities and are not bookmaker prices.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Djurgarden1.75

Home share of expected goals 62.1%

Total expected goals2.82Balanced

Dedicated goals model: Over 54% · Under 46%

Mjällby AIF1.07

Away share of expected goals 37.9%

Projected score2–1BTTS splitYes 55% · No 45%Match profileBalanced
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Home-context · form sequence

Djurgarden

1.80pts / match
Played5Wins3Drawn0Losses2Points9

SignalHome won 3/5

Away-context · form sequence

Mjällby AIF

0.80pts / match
Played5Wins1Drawn1Losses3Points4

SignalHome matches over 2.5: 3/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
46%
Win probability excluding draw
26%
9
Points from supplied form
4
1.75
Expected goals
1.07
DjurgardenMjällby AIF
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Calibrated Dixon-Coles leans HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Djurgarden signalHome won 3/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Mjällby AIF signalHome matches over 2.5: 3/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk54% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Draw probability alone is 27%.

Match questions

Djurgarden vs Mjällby AIF FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Home win · Projected score 2–1 · 46% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Djurgarden win 46%,Draw 27%,Mjällby AIF win 26%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 2.82 · Over 2.5 54% · Current selection Over