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SWE Σουηδία - Allsvenskan · Αγώνας ·

Τζουργκάρντεν vs Mjällby AIF

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Γηπεδούχος form
Projected score2–12.82 expected goals
Φιλοξενούμενος form
Νίκη γηπεδούχου46%
Ισοπαλία27%
Νίκη φιλοξενούμενου26%
Full model forecastΝίκη γηπεδούχουTier A · 46% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Calibrated Dixon-Coles leans HOME Compare the forecast probabilities, fair prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callΝίκη γηπεδούχου46% selection probability
Projected score2–1ΤζουργκάρντενMjällby AIF
Expected goals2.82Balanced match profile
Goals 2.5Άνω54% for the selected side
Σκοράρουν και οι δύοΝαι55% for the selected side
Expected corners10.4Άνω 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketΕπιλογήΠιθανότηταΔίκαιη απόδοση
46% / 27% / 26%Αποτέλεσμα αγώναΝίκη γηπεδούχου46%2.17
Derived from 1X2 · excludes Mjällby AIF win (26.1%)Διπλή Ευκαιρία1X73.9%1.35
Άνω 54% · Κάτω 46%Goals 2.5Άνω54%1.85
Ναι 55% · Όχι 45%Σκοράρουν και οι δύοΝαι55%1.82
2.82 total expected goalsΑκριβές σκορ2–1
10.4 expected match cornersΚόρνερΆνω 9.5
Probability view

Forecast probabilities and fair odds

Όχι snapshot-bound 1X2 price was available for this forecast, so this page does not show a market comparison or probability-gap claim.

OutcomeForecast probabilityΔίκαιη απόδοση
Τζουργκάρντεν win46%2.17
Ισοπαλία27%3.70
Mjällby AIF win26%3.85

Fair odds are calculated directly from the published forecast probabilities and are not bookmaker prices.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Τζουργκάρντεν1.75

Γηπεδούχος share of expected goals 62.1%

Total expected goals2.82Balanced

Dedicated goals model: Άνω 54% · Κάτω 46%

Mjällby AIF1.07

Φιλοξενούμενος share of expected goals 37.9%

Projected score2–1BTTS splitΝαι 55% · Όχι 45%Match profileBalanced
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Γηπεδούχος-context · form sequence

Τζουργκάρντεν

1.80pts / match
Αγώνες5Wins3Drawn0Losses2Πόντοι9

SignalΓηπεδούχος won 3/5

Φιλοξενούμενος-context · form sequence

Mjällby AIF

0.80pts / match
Αγώνες5Wins1Drawn1Losses3Πόντοι4

SignalΓηπεδούχος matches over 2.5: 3/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
46%
Νίκη probability excluding draw
26%
9
Points from supplied form
4
1.75
Expected goals
1.07
ΤζουργκάρντενMjällby AIF
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Calibrated Dixon-Coles leans HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Τζουργκάρντεν signalΓηπεδούχος won 3/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Mjällby AIF signalΓηπεδούχος matches over 2.5: 3/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk54% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Ισοπαλία probability alone is 27%.

Match questions

Τζουργκάρντεν vs Mjällby AIF FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Νίκη γηπεδούχου · Projected score 2–1 · 46% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Τζουργκάρντεν νίκη 46%,Ισοπαλία 27%,Mjällby AIF νίκη 26%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 2.82 · Άνω 2.5 54% · Current selection Άνω