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BRA Brazil Campeonato Paulista U20 · Final ·

Corinthians U20 vs Ferroviaria U20

Prediction review

Home form
Final score4–0Forecast 1–0
Away form
Home win59%
Draw24%
Away win17%
Full model forecastHome winTier A · 59% selection probability
Prediction Won
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Model and market agree on HOME Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callHome win59% selection probability
Projected score1–0Corinthians U20Ferroviaria U20
Expected goals1.57Low-scoring match profile
Goals 2.5Under79% for the selected side
Both teams scoreNo79% for the selected side
Expected corners9.4Under 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketSelectionProbabilityFair odds
59% / 24% / 17%Match resultHome win59%1.69
Derived from 1X2 · excludes Ferroviaria U20 win (17.1%)Double chance1X82.9%1.21
Over 21% · Under 79%Goals 2.5Under79%1.27
Yes 21% · No 79%Both teams scoreNo79%1.27
1.57 total expected goalsCorrect score1–0
9.4 expected match cornersCornersUnder 9.5
Price comparison

Published forecast vs reference market

Reference odds are converted to normalized probabilities. The gap is descriptive and is not a claim of guaranteed value.

Displayed margin12.0%Largest probability gapFerroviaria U20 winDifference-0.9 pp
OutcomeForecastFair oddsReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
Corinthians U20 win59%1.691.5358.3%+0.7 pp
Draw24%4.173.7523.8%+0.2 pp
Ferroviaria U20 win17%5.885.0017.9%-0.9 pp

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Corinthians U201.23

Home share of expected goals 78.3%

Total expected goals1.57Low-scoring

Dedicated goals model: Over 21% · Under 79%

Ferroviaria U200.34

Away share of expected goals 21.7%

Projected score1–0BTTS splitYes 21% · No 79%Match profileLow-scoring
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Home-context · form sequence

Corinthians U20

3.00pts / match
Played5Wins5Drawn0Losses0Points15

SignalHome unbeaten 5/5

Away-context · form sequence

Ferroviaria U20

2.00pts / match
Played5Wins3Drawn1Losses1Points10

SignalHome clean sheets: 4/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
59%
Win probability excluding draw
17%
15
Points from supplied form
10
1.23
Expected goals
0.34
Corinthians U20Ferroviaria U20
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Model and market agree on HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Corinthians U20 signalHome unbeaten 5/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Ferroviaria U20 signalHome clean sheets: 4/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk41% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Draw probability alone is 24%.

Match questions

Corinthians U20 vs Ferroviaria U20 FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Home win · Projected score 1–0 · 59% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Corinthians U20 win 59%,Draw 24%,Ferroviaria U20 win 17%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 1.57 · Over 2.5 21% · Current selection Under