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BRA Brazil Campeonato Paulista U20 · Final ·

Corinthians U20 vs Ferroviaria U20

Prediction review

Heim form
Final score4–0Prognose 1–0
Auswärts form
Heimsieg59%
Unentschieden24%
Auswärtssieg17%
Full model forecastHeimsiegTier A · 59% selection probability
Prediction Gewonnen
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Model and market agree on HOME Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callHeimsieg59% selection probability
Projected score1–0Corinthians U20Ferroviaria U20
Expected goals1.57Low-scoring match profile
Goals 2.5Unter79% for the selected side
Beide Teams treffenNein79% for the selected side
Expected corners9.4Unter 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketAuswahlWahrscheinlichkeitFaire Quote
59% / 24% / 17%SpielergebnisHeimsieg59%1.69
Derived from 1X2 · excludes Ferroviaria U20 win (17.1%)Doppelte Chance1X82.9%1.21
Über 21% · Unter 79%Goals 2.5Unter79%1.27
Ja 21% · Nein 79%Beide Teams treffenNein79%1.27
1.57 total expected goalsGenaues Ergebnis1–0
9.4 expected match cornersEckenUnter 9.5
Price comparison

Published forecast vs reference market

Reference odds are converted to normalized probabilities. The gap is descriptive and is not a claim of guaranteed value.

Displayed margin12.0%Largest probability gapFerroviaria U20 winDifference-0.9 pp
OutcomePrognoseFaire QuoteReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
Corinthians U20 win59%1.691.5358.3%+0.7 pp
Unentschieden24%4.173.7523.8%+0.2 pp
Ferroviaria U20 win17%5.885.0017.9%-0.9 pp

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Corinthians U201.23

Heim share of expected goals 78.3%

Total expected goals1.57Low-scoring

Dedicated goals model: Über 21% · Unter 79%

Ferroviaria U200.34

Auswärts share of expected goals 21.7%

Projected score1–0BTTS splitJa 21% · Nein 79%Match profileLow-scoring
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Heim-context · form sequence

Corinthians U20

3.00pts / match
Gespielt5Wins5Drawn0Losses0Punkte15

SignalHeim unbeaten 5/5

Auswärts-context · form sequence

Ferroviaria U20

2.00pts / match
Gespielt5Wins3Drawn1Losses1Punkte10

SignalHeim clean sheets: 4/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
59%
Gewinn probability excluding draw
17%
15
Points from supplied form
10
1.23
Expected goals
0.34
Corinthians U20Ferroviaria U20
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Model and market agree on HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Corinthians U20 signalHeim unbeaten 5/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Ferroviaria U20 signalHeim clean sheets: 4/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk41% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Unentschieden probability alone is 24%.

Match questions

Corinthians U20 vs Ferroviaria U20 FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Heimsieg · Projected score 1–0 · 59% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Corinthians U20 Gewinn 59%,Unentschieden 24%,Ferroviaria U20 Gewinn 17%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 1.57 · Über 2.5 21% · Current selection Unter