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ARG Argentina Primera C Metropolitana · Fixture ·

Defensores de Cambaceres vs Club Leandro N. Alem

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Home form
Projected score1–12.59 expected goals
Away form
Home win36%
Draw31%
Away win32%
Full model forecastHome winTier A · 36% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Market-aware blend leans HOME; raw model leaned AWAY Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callHome win36% selection probability
Projected score1–1Defensores de CambaceresClub Leandro N. Alem
Expected goals2.59Balanced match profile
Goals 2.5Under52% for the selected side
Both teams scoreYes53% for the selected side
Expected corners8.2Under 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketSelectionProbabilityFair odds
36% / 31% / 32%Match resultHome win36%2.78
Derived from 1X2 · excludes draw (31.5%)Double chance1268.5%1.46
Over 48% · Under 52%Goals 2.5Under52%1.92
Yes 53% · No 47%Both teams scoreYes53%1.89
2.59 total expected goalsCorrect score1–1
8.2 expected match cornersCornersUnder 9.5
Price comparison

Published forecast vs reference market

Reference odds are converted to normalized probabilities. The gap is descriptive and is not a claim of guaranteed value.

Displayed margin12.2%Largest probability gapDrawDifference-0.8 pp
OutcomeForecastFair oddsReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
Defensores de Cambaceres win36%2.782.4536.4%-0.4 pp
Draw31%3.232.8031.8%-0.8 pp
Club Leandro N. Alem win32%3.132.8031.8%+0.2 pp

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Defensores de Cambaceres1.23

Home share of expected goals 47.5%

Total expected goals2.59Balanced

Dedicated goals model: Over 48% · Under 52%

Club Leandro N. Alem1.36

Away share of expected goals 52.5%

Projected score1–1BTTS splitYes 53% · No 47%Match profileBalanced
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Home-context · form sequence

Defensores de Cambaceres

0.40pts / match
Played5Wins0Drawn2Losses3Points2

SignalHome failed to score: 2/5

Away-context · form sequence

Club Leandro N. Alem

1.00pts / match
Played5Wins1Drawn2Losses2Points5

SignalAway matches under 2.5: 4/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
36%
Win probability excluding draw
32%
2
Points from supplied form
5
1.23
Expected goals
1.36
Defensores de CambaceresClub Leandro N. Alem
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Market-aware blend leans HOME; raw model leaned AWAY

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Defensores de Cambaceres signalHome failed to score: 2/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Club Leandro N. Alem signalAway matches under 2.5: 4/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk64% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Draw probability alone is 31%.

Match questions

Defensores de Cambaceres vs Club Leandro N. Alem FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Home win · Projected score 1–1 · 36% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Defensores de Cambaceres win 36%,Draw 31%,Club Leandro N. Alem win 32%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 2.59 · Over 2.5 48% · Current selection Under