Market dashboard
Every available prediction
Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.
MarketSelectionProbabilityFair odds
80% / 13% / 8%Match resultHome win80%1.25
Derived from 1X2 · excludes Cruz Azul (W) win (7.6%)Double chance1X92.4%1.08
Over 75% · Under 25%Goals 2.5Over75%1.33
Yes 67% · No 33%Both teams scoreYes67%1.49
3.89 total expected goalsCorrect score3–1——
10.5 expected match cornersCornersOver 9.5——
Price comparison
Published forecast vs reference market
Reference odds are converted to normalized probabilities. The gap is descriptive and is not a claim of guaranteed value.
Displayed margin8.7%Largest probability gapCruz Azul (W) winDifference+0.9 pp
OutcomeForecastFair oddsReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
Club America (W) win80%1.251.1480.7%-0.7 pp
Draw13%7.697.5012.3%+0.7 pp
Cruz Azul (W) win8%12.5013.007.1%+0.9 pp
Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.
Scoring projection
Expected-goals split
Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.
Home share of expected goals 67.4%
Total expected goals3.89Open
Dedicated goals model: Over 75% · Under 25%
Away share of expected goals 32.6%
Projected score3–1BTTS splitYes 67% · No 33%Match profileOpen
Recent form
Five-result form summary
The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.
Home-context · form sequence
2.40pts / matchClub America (W)
WWLWW
Played5Wins4Drawn0Losses1Points12
SignalHome unbeaten 4/5
Away-context · form sequence
1.60pts / matchCruz Azul (W)
WLDDW
Played5Wins2Drawn2Losses1Points8
SignalHome matches over 2.5: 4/5
Side-by-side
Current match outlookMatchup comparison
80%
Win probability excluding draw
8%12
Points from supplied form
82.62
Expected goals
1.27Club America (W)Cruz Azul (W)
Signals and risk
What supports — and challenges — the call
Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.
Model and market agree on HOME
This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.
This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.
This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.
The selected outcome can still fail. Draw probability alone is 13%.
Match questions
Club America (W) vs Cruz Azul (W) FAQ
What is the current prediction?
Current prediction: Home win · Projected score 3–1 · 80% selection probability.
What are the 1X2 probabilities?
Club America (W) win 80%，Draw 13%，Cruz Azul (W) win 8%。
Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?
Total expected goals 3.89 · Over 2.5 75% · Current selection Over。