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POL Poland I Liga · Fixture ·

Chrobry Glogow vs Warta Poznan

Market-based forecast,stats and analysis

Home form
Projected score2–12.86 expected goals
Away form
Home win42%
Draw27%
Away win31%
Market-based forecastHome winTier B · 42% selection probability
Market-based forecast · Tier B

Match prediction

Market-led fallback leans HOME Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callHome win42% selection probability
Projected score2–1Chrobry GlogowWarta Poznan
Expected goals2.86Balanced match profile
Goals 2.5Over54% for the selected side
Both teams scoreYes59% for the selected side
Expected corners11.2Over 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketSelectionProbabilityFair odds
42% / 27% / 31%Match resultHome win42%2.38
Derived from 1X2 · excludes draw (26.9%)Double chance1273.1%1.37
Over 54% · Under 46%Goals 2.5Over54%1.85
Yes 59% · No 41%Both teams scoreYes59%1.69
2.86 total expected goalsCorrect score2–1
11.2 expected match cornersCornersOver 9.5
Price comparison

Reference market used for this forecast

This market-based forecast is aligned to the normalized pre-match 1X2 reference. The comparison is contextual and makes no betting-edge claim.

Displayed margin11.5%Forecast sourceMarket-basedEdge claimNone
OutcomeForecastFair oddsReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
Chrobry Glogow win42%2.382.1541.7%
Draw27%3.703.3027.2%
Warta Poznan win31%3.232.8831.1%

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Chrobry Glogow1.54

Home share of expected goals 53.8%

Total expected goals2.86Balanced

Dedicated goals model: Over 54% · Under 46%

Warta Poznan1.32

Away share of expected goals 46.2%

Projected score2–1BTTS splitYes 59% · No 41%Match profileBalanced
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Home-context · form sequence

Chrobry Glogow

1.40pts / match
Played5Wins2Drawn1Losses2Points7

SignalHome matches over 2.5: 3/5

Away-context · form sequence

Warta Poznan

1.20pts / match
Played5Wins2Drawn0Losses3Points6

SignalAway matches over 2.5: 5/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
42%
Win probability excluding draw
31%
7
Points from supplied form
6
1.54
Expected goals
1.32
Chrobry GlogowWarta Poznan
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Market-led fallback leans HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Chrobry Glogow signalHome matches over 2.5: 3/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Warta Poznan signalAway matches over 2.5: 5/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk58% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Draw probability alone is 27%.

Match questions

Chrobry Glogow vs Warta Poznan FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Home win · Projected score 2–1 · 42% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Chrobry Glogow win 42%,Draw 27%,Warta Poznan win 31%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 2.86 · Over 2.5 54% · Current selection Over