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INT Elite Club Friendlies · Fixture ·

Johor Darul Ta'zim vs Chelsea

Market-based forecast,stats and analysis

Home form
Projected score1–22.96 expected goals
Away form
Home win23%
Draw23%
Away win54%
Market-based forecastAway winTier B · 54% selection probability
Market-based forecast · Tier B

Match prediction

Market-led fallback leans AWAY Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callAway win54% selection probability
Projected score1–2Johor Darul Ta'zimChelsea
Expected goals2.96Balanced match profile
Goals 2.5Over57% for the selected side
Both teams scoreYes59% for the selected side
Expected corners8.6Under 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketSelectionProbabilityFair odds
23% / 23% / 54%Match resultAway win54%1.85
Derived from 1X2 · excludes draw (22.9%)Double chance1277.1%1.30
Over 57% · Under 43%Goals 2.5Over57%1.75
Yes 59% · No 41%Both teams scoreYes59%1.69
2.96 total expected goalsCorrect score1–2
8.6 expected match cornersCornersUnder 9.5
Price comparison

Reference market used for this forecast

This market-based forecast is aligned to the normalized pre-match 1X2 reference. The comparison is contextual and makes no betting-edge claim.

Displayed margin11.3%Forecast sourceMarket-basedEdge claimNone
OutcomeForecastFair oddsReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
Johor Darul Ta'zim win23%4.354.2021.4%
Draw23%4.354.0022.5%
Chelsea win54%1.851.6056.1%

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Johor Darul Ta'zim1.23

Home share of expected goals 41.6%

Total expected goals2.96Balanced

Dedicated goals model: Over 57% · Under 43%

Chelsea1.73

Away share of expected goals 58.4%

Projected score1–2BTTS splitYes 59% · No 41%Match profileBalanced
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Home-context · form sequence

Johor Darul Ta'zim

1.33pts / match
Played3Wins1Drawn1Losses1Points4

SignalHome clean sheets: 2/3

Away-context · form sequence

Chelsea

1.20pts / match
Played5Wins2Drawn0Losses3Points6

SignalAway matches over 2.5: 3/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
23%
Win probability excluding draw
54%
4
Points from supplied form
6
1.23
Expected goals
1.73
Johor Darul Ta'zimChelsea
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Market-led fallback leans AWAY

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Johor Darul Ta'zim signalHome clean sheets: 2/3

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Chelsea signalAway matches over 2.5: 3/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk46% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Draw probability alone is 23%.

Match questions

Johor Darul Ta'zim vs Chelsea FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Away win · Projected score 1–2 · 54% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Johor Darul Ta'zim win 23%,Draw 23%,Chelsea win 54%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 2.96 · Over 2.5 57% · Current selection Over