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ENG England EFL Cup · Final ·

Cheltenham vs Charlton

Prediction review

Home form
Final score1–3Forecast 1–2
Away form
Home win20%
Draw25%
Away win54%
Market-based forecastAway winTier B · 54% selection probability
Prediction Won
Market-based forecast · Tier B

Match prediction

Market-led fallback leans AWAY Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callAway win54% selection probability
Projected score1–2CheltenhamCharlton
Expected goals2.69Balanced match profile
Goals 2.5Over51% for the selected side
Both teams scoreYes55% for the selected side
Expected corners9.6Under 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketSelectionProbabilityFair odds
20% / 25% / 54%Match resultAway win54%1.85
Derived from 1X2 · excludes Cheltenham win (20.1%)Double chanceX279.9%1.25
Over 51% · Under 49%Goals 2.5Over51%1.96
Yes 55% · No 45%Both teams scoreYes55%1.82
2.69 total expected goalsCorrect score1–2
9.6 expected match cornersCornersUnder 9.5
Price comparison

Reference market used for this forecast

This market-based forecast is aligned to the normalized pre-match 1X2 reference. The comparison is contextual and makes no betting-edge claim.

Displayed margin7.6%Forecast sourceMarket-basedEdge claimNone
OutcomeForecastFair oddsReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
Cheltenham win20%5.005.0018.6%
Draw25%4.003.7025.1%
Charlton win54%1.851.6556.3%

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Cheltenham1.06

Home share of expected goals 39.4%

Total expected goals2.69Balanced

Dedicated goals model: Over 51% · Under 49%

Charlton1.63

Away share of expected goals 60.6%

Projected score1–2BTTS splitYes 55% · No 45%Match profileBalanced
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Home-context · form sequence

Cheltenham

1.20pts / match
Played5Wins2Drawn0Losses3Points6

SignalHome matches over 2.5: 4/5

Away-context · form sequence

Charlton

1.00pts / match
Played5Wins1Drawn2Losses2Points5

SignalHome won 2/4 recent home matches

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
20%
Win probability excluding draw
54%
6
Points from supplied form
5
1.06
Expected goals
1.63
CheltenhamCharlton
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Market-led fallback leans AWAY

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Cheltenham signalHome matches over 2.5: 4/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Charlton signalHome won 2/4 recent home matches

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk46% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Draw probability alone is 25%.

Match questions

Cheltenham vs Charlton FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Away win · Projected score 1–2 · 54% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Cheltenham win 20%,Draw 25%,Charlton win 54%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 2.69 · Over 2.5 51% · Current selection Over