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ENG England EFL Cup · Fixture ·

Rotherham vs West Brom

Baseline forecast,stats and analysis

Home form
Projected score1–12.70 expected goals
Away form
Home win37%
Draw26%
Away win37%
Baseline forecastAway winTier C · 37% selection probability
Baseline forecast · Tier C

Match prediction

Low-confidence goal-prior fallback leans AWAY Compare the forecast probabilities, fair prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callAway win37% selection probability
Projected score1–1RotherhamWest Brom
Expected goals2.70Balanced match profile
Goals 2.5Over51% for the selected side
Both teams scoreYes55% for the selected side
Expected corners9.7Over 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketSelectionProbabilityFair odds
37% / 26% / 37%Match resultAway win37%2.70
Derived from 1X2 · excludes draw (25.8%)Double chance1274.2%1.35
Over 51% · Under 49%Goals 2.5Over51%1.96
Yes 55% · No 45%Both teams scoreYes55%1.82
2.70 total expected goalsCorrect score1–1
9.7 expected match cornersCornersOver 9.5
Probability view

Forecast probabilities and fair odds

No snapshot-bound 1X2 price was available for this forecast, so this page does not show a market comparison or probability-gap claim.

OutcomeForecast probabilityFair odds
Rotherham win37%2.70
Draw26%3.85
West Brom win37%2.70

Fair odds are calculated directly from the published forecast probabilities and are not bookmaker prices.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Rotherham1.34

Home share of expected goals 49.6%

Total expected goals2.70Balanced

Dedicated goals model: Over 51% · Under 49%

West Brom1.36

Away share of expected goals 50.4%

Projected score1–1BTTS splitYes 55% · No 45%Match profileBalanced
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Home-context · form sequence

Rotherham

0.50pts / match
Played2Wins0Drawn1Losses1Points1

SignalAway unbeaten 4/5

Away-context · form sequence

West Brom

1.60pts / match
Played5Wins2Drawn2Losses1Points8

SignalAway clean sheets: 4/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
37%
Win probability excluding draw
37%
1
Points from supplied form
8
1.34
Expected goals
1.36
RotherhamWest Brom
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Low-confidence goal-prior fallback leans AWAY

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Rotherham signalAway unbeaten 4/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02West Brom signalAway clean sheets: 4/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk63% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Draw probability alone is 26%.

Match questions

Rotherham vs West Brom FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Away win · Projected score 1–1 · 37% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Rotherham win 37%,Draw 26%,West Brom win 37%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 2.70 · Over 2.5 51% · Current selection Over