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PAN Panama Liga Prom · Fixture ·

UMECIT Reserves vs CD Arabe Unido Reserves

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Home form
Projected score2–13.17 expected goals
Away form
Home win37%
Draw27%
Away win36%
Full model forecastHome winTier A · 37% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Model and market agree on HOME Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callHome win37% selection probability
Projected score2–1UMECIT ReservesCD Arabe Unido Reserves
Expected goals3.17Open match profile
Goals 2.5Over61% for the selected side
Both teams scoreYes63% for the selected side
Expected corners8.8Under 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketSelectionProbabilityFair odds
37% / 27% / 36%Match resultHome win37%2.70
Derived from 1X2 · excludes draw (27.1%)Double chance1272.9%1.37
Over 61% · Under 39%Goals 2.5Over61%1.64
Yes 63% · No 37%Both teams scoreYes63%1.59
3.17 total expected goalsCorrect score2–1
8.8 expected match cornersCornersUnder 9.5
Price comparison

Published forecast vs reference market

Reference odds are converted to normalized probabilities. The gap is descriptive and is not a claim of guaranteed value.

Displayed margin12.4%Largest probability gapUMECIT Reserves winDifference+0.7 pp
OutcomeForecastFair oddsReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
UMECIT Reserves win37%2.702.4536.3%+0.7 pp
Draw27%3.703.2527.4%-0.4 pp
CD Arabe Unido Reserves win36%2.782.4536.3%-0.3 pp

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

UMECIT Reserves1.71

Home share of expected goals 53.9%

Total expected goals3.17Open

Dedicated goals model: Over 61% · Under 39%

CD Arabe Unido Reserves1.46

Away share of expected goals 46.1%

Projected score2–1BTTS splitYes 63% · No 37%Match profileOpen
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Home-context · form sequence

UMECIT Reserves

1.60pts / match
Played5Wins2Drawn2Losses1Points8

SignalHome unbeaten 4/5

Away-context · form sequence

CD Arabe Unido Reserves

1.00pts / match
Played5Wins1Drawn2Losses2Points5

SignalHome matches over 2.5: 4/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
37%
Win probability excluding draw
36%
8
Points from supplied form
5
1.71
Expected goals
1.46
UMECIT ReservesCD Arabe Unido Reserves
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Model and market agree on HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01UMECIT Reserves signalHome unbeaten 4/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02CD Arabe Unido Reserves signalHome matches over 2.5: 4/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk63% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Draw probability alone is 27%.

Match questions

UMECIT Reserves vs CD Arabe Unido Reserves FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Home win · Projected score 2–1 · 37% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

UMECIT Reserves win 37%,Draw 27%,CD Arabe Unido Reserves win 36%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 3.17 · Over 2.5 61% · Current selection Over