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AUS Australia Capital Territory Premier League · Fixture ·

Canberra Croatia FC vs O'Connor Knights

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Home form
Projected score3–13.87 expected goals
Away form
Home win76%
Draw16%
Away win8%
Full model forecastHome winTier A · 76% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Calibrated Dixon-Coles leans HOME Compare the forecast probabilities, fair prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callHome win76% selection probability
Projected score3–1Canberra Croatia FCO'Connor Knights
Expected goals3.87Open match profile
Goals 2.5Over74% for the selected side
Both teams scoreNo57% for the selected side
Expected corners9.8Under 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketSelectionProbabilityFair odds
76% / 16% / 8%Match resultHome win76%1.32
Derived from 1X2 · excludes O'Connor Knights win (8.3%)Double chance1X91.7%1.09
Over 74% · Under 26%Goals 2.5Over74%1.35
Yes 43% · No 57%Both teams scoreNo57%1.75
3.87 total expected goalsCorrect score3–1
9.8 expected match cornersCornersUnder 9.5
Probability view

Forecast probabilities and fair odds

No snapshot-bound 1X2 price was available for this forecast, so this page does not show a market comparison or probability-gap claim.

OutcomeForecast probabilityFair odds
Canberra Croatia FC win76%1.32
Draw16%6.25
O'Connor Knights win8%12.50

Fair odds are calculated directly from the published forecast probabilities and are not bookmaker prices.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Canberra Croatia FC3.29

Home share of expected goals 85%

Total expected goals3.87Open

Dedicated goals model: Over 74% · Under 26%

O'Connor Knights0.58

Away share of expected goals 15%

Projected score3–1BTTS splitYes 43% · No 57%Match profileOpen
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Home-context · form sequence

Canberra Croatia FC

2.40pts / match
Played5Wins4Drawn0Losses1Points12

SignalHome unbeaten 4/5

Away-context · form sequence

O'Connor Knights

1.00pts / match
Played5Wins1Drawn2Losses2Points5

SignalHome matches over 2.5: 4/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
76%
Win probability excluding draw
8%
12
Points from supplied form
5
3.29
Expected goals
0.58
Canberra Croatia FCO'Connor Knights
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Calibrated Dixon-Coles leans HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Canberra Croatia FC signalHome unbeaten 4/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02O'Connor Knights signalHome matches over 2.5: 4/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk24% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Draw probability alone is 16%.

Match questions

Canberra Croatia FC vs O'Connor Knights FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Home win · Projected score 3–1 · 76% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Canberra Croatia FC win 76%,Draw 16%,O'Connor Knights win 8%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 3.87 · Over 2.5 74% · Current selection Over