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AUS Australia Capital Territory Premier League · Fixture ·

Canberra Olympic vs Tigers FC

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Home form
Projected score1–34.66 expected goals
Away form
Home win18%
Draw20%
Away win62%
Full model forecastAway winTier A · 62% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Calibrated Dixon-Coles leans AWAY Compare the forecast probabilities, fair prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callAway win62% selection probability
Projected score1–3Canberra OlympicTigers FC
Expected goals4.66Open match profile
Goals 2.5Over84% for the selected side
Both teams scoreYes72% for the selected side
Expected corners8.7Under 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketSelectionProbabilityFair odds
18% / 20% / 62%Match resultAway win62%1.61
Derived from 1X2 · excludes Canberra Olympic win (18.3%)Double chanceX281.7%1.22
Over 84% · Under 16%Goals 2.5Over84%1.19
Yes 72% · No 28%Both teams scoreYes72%1.39
4.66 total expected goalsCorrect score1–3
8.7 expected match cornersCornersUnder 9.5
Probability view

Forecast probabilities and fair odds

No snapshot-bound 1X2 price was available for this forecast, so this page does not show a market comparison or probability-gap claim.

OutcomeForecast probabilityFair odds
Canberra Olympic win18%5.56
Draw20%5.00
Tigers FC win62%1.61

Fair odds are calculated directly from the published forecast probabilities and are not bookmaker prices.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Canberra Olympic1.38

Home share of expected goals 29.6%

Total expected goals4.66Open

Dedicated goals model: Over 84% · Under 16%

Tigers FC3.28

Away share of expected goals 70.4%

Projected score1–3BTTS splitYes 72% · No 28%Match profileOpen
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Home-context · form sequence

Canberra Olympic

0.80pts / match
Played5Wins1Drawn1Losses3Points4

SignalHome matches over 2.5: 4/5

Away-context · form sequence

Tigers FC

2.00pts / match
Played5Wins3Drawn1Losses1Points10

SignalHome failed to score: 2/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
18%
Win probability excluding draw
62%
4
Points from supplied form
10
1.38
Expected goals
3.28
Canberra OlympicTigers FC
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Calibrated Dixon-Coles leans AWAY

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Canberra Olympic signalHome matches over 2.5: 4/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Tigers FC signalHome failed to score: 2/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk38% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Draw probability alone is 20%.

Match questions

Canberra Olympic vs Tigers FC FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Away win · Projected score 1–3 · 62% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Canberra Olympic win 18%,Draw 20%,Tigers FC win 62%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 4.66 · Over 2.5 84% · Current selection Over