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CAL India Calcutta Football League · Fixture ·

Mohammedan SC Reserves vs Calcutta Police Club

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Home form
Projected score2–12.76 expected goals
Away form
Home win54%
Draw24%
Away win22%
Full model forecastHome winTier A · 54% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Model and market agree on HOME Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callHome win54% selection probability
Projected score2–1Mohammedan SC ReservesCalcutta Police Club
Expected goals2.76Balanced match profile
Goals 2.5Over52% for the selected side
Both teams scoreNo56% for the selected side
Expected corners9.0Under 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketSelectionProbabilityFair odds
54% / 24% / 22%Match resultHome win54%1.85
Derived from 1X2 · excludes Calcutta Police Club win (22.2%)Double chance1X77.8%1.29
Over 52% · Under 48%Goals 2.5Over52%1.92
Yes 44% · No 56%Both teams scoreNo56%1.79
2.76 total expected goalsCorrect score2–1
9.0 expected match cornersCornersUnder 9.5
Price comparison

Published forecast vs reference market

Reference odds are converted to normalized probabilities. The gap is descriptive and is not a claim of guaranteed value.

Displayed margin12.2%Largest probability gapMohammedan SC Reserves winDifference+1.6 pp
OutcomeForecastFair oddsReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
Mohammedan SC Reserves win54%1.851.7052.4%+1.6 pp
Draw24%4.173.7024.1%-0.1 pp
Calcutta Police Club win22%4.553.8023.5%-1.5 pp

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Mohammedan SC Reserves2.06

Home share of expected goals 74.6%

Total expected goals2.76Balanced

Dedicated goals model: Over 52% · Under 48%

Calcutta Police Club0.70

Away share of expected goals 25.4%

Projected score2–1BTTS splitYes 44% · No 56%Match profileBalanced
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Home-context · form sequence

Mohammedan SC Reserves

2.20pts / match
Played5Wins3Drawn2Losses0Points11

SignalHome unbeaten 5/5

Away-context · form sequence

Calcutta Police Club

1.60pts / match
Played5Wins2Drawn2Losses1Points8

SignalAway unbeaten 4/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
54%
Win probability excluding draw
22%
11
Points from supplied form
8
2.06
Expected goals
0.70
Mohammedan SC ReservesCalcutta Police Club
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Model and market agree on HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Mohammedan SC Reserves signalHome unbeaten 5/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Calcutta Police Club signalAway unbeaten 4/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk46% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Draw probability alone is 24%.

Match questions

Mohammedan SC Reserves vs Calcutta Police Club FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Home win · Projected score 2–1 · 54% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Mohammedan SC Reserves win 54%,Draw 24%,Calcutta Police Club win 22%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 2.76 · Over 2.5 52% · Current selection Over