Market dashboard
Every available prediction
Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.
MarketSelectionProbabilityFair odds
52% / 27% / 21%Match resultHome win52%1.92
Derived from 1X2 · excludes El Porvenir Reserves win (21.1%)Double chance1X78.9%1.27
Over 32% · Under 68%Goals 2.5Under68%1.47
Yes 37% · No 63%Both teams scoreNo63%1.59
1.99 total expected goalsCorrect score1–1——
8.7 expected match cornersCornersUnder 9.5——
Price comparison
Published forecast vs reference market
Reference odds are converted to normalized probabilities. The gap is descriptive and is not a claim of guaranteed value.
Displayed margin12.0%Largest probability gapDrawDifference+0.8 pp
OutcomeForecastFair oddsReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
CA Claypole Reserves win52%1.921.7052.5%-0.5 pp
Draw27%3.703.4026.3%+0.8 pp
El Porvenir Reserves win21%4.764.2021.2%-0.2 pp
Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.
Scoring projection
Expected-goals split
Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.
Home share of expected goals 65.3%
Total expected goals1.99Low-scoring
Dedicated goals model: Over 32% · Under 68%
Away share of expected goals 34.7%
Projected score1–1BTTS splitYes 37% · No 63%Match profileLow-scoring
Recent form
Five-result form summary
The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.
Home-context · form sequence
1.40pts / matchCA Claypole Reserves
LWLWD
Played5Wins2Drawn1Losses2Points7
SignalHome clean sheets: 3/5
Away-context · form sequence
2.60pts / matchEl Porvenir Reserves
WDWWW
Played5Wins4Drawn1Losses0Points13
SignalAway unbeaten 5/5
Side-by-side
Current match outlookMatchup comparison
52%
Win probability excluding draw
21%7
Points from supplied form
131.30
Expected goals
0.69CA Claypole ReservesEl Porvenir Reserves
Signals and risk
What supports — and challenges — the call
Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.
Model and market agree on HOME
This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.
This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.
This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.
The selected outcome can still fail. Draw probability alone is 27%.
Match questions
CA Claypole Reserves vs El Porvenir Reserves FAQ
What is the current prediction?
Current prediction: Home win · Projected score 1–1 · 52% selection probability.
What are the 1X2 probabilities?
CA Claypole Reserves win 52%，Draw 27%，El Porvenir Reserves win 21%。
Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?
Total expected goals 1.99 · Over 2.5 32% · Current selection Under。