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ARG Argentinien - Reserveliga · Final ·

CA Claypole - Reserve vs El Porvenir - Reserve

Prediction review

Heim form
Final score1–2Prognose 1–1
Auswärts form
Heimsieg52%
Unentschieden27%
Auswärtssieg21%
Full model forecastHeimsiegTier A · 52% selection probability
Prediction Verloren
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Model and market agree on HOME Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callHeimsieg52% selection probability
Projected score1–1CA Claypole - ReserveEl Porvenir - Reserve
Expected goals1.99Low-scoring match profile
Goals 2.5Unter68% for the selected side
Beide Teams treffenNein63% for the selected side
Expected corners8.7Unter 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketAuswahlWahrscheinlichkeitFaire Quote
52% / 27% / 21%SpielergebnisHeimsieg52%1.92
Derived from 1X2 · excludes El Porvenir - Reserve win (21.1%)Doppelte Chance1X78.9%1.27
Über 32% · Unter 68%Goals 2.5Unter68%1.47
Ja 37% · Nein 63%Beide Teams treffenNein63%1.59
1.99 total expected goalsGenaues Ergebnis1–1
8.7 expected match cornersEckenUnter 9.5
Price comparison

Published forecast vs reference market

Reference odds are converted to normalized probabilities. The gap is descriptive and is not a claim of guaranteed value.

Displayed margin12.0%Largest probability gapDrawDifference+0.8 pp
OutcomePrognoseFaire QuoteReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
CA Claypole - Reserve win52%1.921.7052.5%-0.5 pp
Unentschieden27%3.703.4026.3%+0.8 pp
El Porvenir - Reserve win21%4.764.2021.2%-0.2 pp

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

CA Claypole - Reserve1.30

Heim share of expected goals 65.3%

Total expected goals1.99Low-scoring

Dedicated goals model: Über 32% · Unter 68%

El Porvenir - Reserve0.69

Auswärts share of expected goals 34.7%

Projected score1–1BTTS splitJa 37% · Nein 63%Match profileLow-scoring
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Heim-context · form sequence

CA Claypole - Reserve

1.40pts / match
Gespielt5Wins2Drawn1Losses2Punkte7

SignalHeim clean sheets: 3/5

Auswärts-context · form sequence

El Porvenir - Reserve

2.60pts / match
Gespielt5Wins4Drawn1Losses0Punkte13

SignalAuswärts unbeaten 5/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
52%
Gewinn probability excluding draw
21%
7
Points from supplied form
13
1.30
Expected goals
0.69
CA Claypole - ReserveEl Porvenir - Reserve
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Model and market agree on HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01CA Claypole - Reserve signalHeim clean sheets: 3/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02El Porvenir - Reserve signalAuswärts unbeaten 5/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk48% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Unentschieden probability alone is 27%.

Match questions

CA Claypole - Reserve vs El Porvenir - Reserve FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Heimsieg · Projected score 1–1 · 52% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

CA Claypole - Reserve Gewinn 52%,Unentschieden 27%,El Porvenir - Reserve Gewinn 21%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 1.99 · Über 2.5 32% · Current selection Unter