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ARG Argentina - Reservligan · Final ·

CA Claypole reserver vs El Porvenir reserver

Prediction review

Hemma form
Final score1–2Prognos 1–1
Borta form
Hemmaseger52%
Oavgjort27%
Bortaseger21%
Full model forecastHemmasegerTier A · 52% selection probability
Prediction Förlorad
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Model and market agree on HOME Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callHemmaseger52% selection probability
Projected score1–1CA Claypole reserverEl Porvenir reserver
Expected goals1.99Low-scoring match profile
Goals 2.5Under68% for the selected side
Båda lagen gör målNej63% for the selected side
Expected corners8.7Under 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketValSannolikhetRättvist odds
52% / 27% / 21%MatchresultatHemmaseger52%1.92
Derived from 1X2 · excludes El Porvenir reserver win (21.1%)Dubbelchans1X78.9%1.27
Över 32% · Under 68%Goals 2.5Under68%1.47
Ja 37% · Nej 63%Båda lagen gör målNej63%1.59
1.99 total expected goalsKorrekt resultat1–1
8.7 expected match cornersHörnorUnder 9.5
Price comparison

Published forecast vs reference market

Reference odds are converted to normalized probabilities. The gap is descriptive and is not a claim of guaranteed value.

Displayed margin12.0%Largest probability gapDrawDifference+0.8 pp
OutcomePrognosRättvist oddsReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
CA Claypole reserver win52%1.921.7052.5%-0.5 pp
Oavgjort27%3.703.4026.3%+0.8 pp
El Porvenir reserver win21%4.764.2021.2%-0.2 pp

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

CA Claypole reserver1.30

Hemma share of expected goals 65.3%

Total expected goals1.99Low-scoring

Dedicated goals model: Över 32% · Under 68%

El Porvenir reserver0.69

Borta share of expected goals 34.7%

Projected score1–1BTTS splitJa 37% · Nej 63%Match profileLow-scoring
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Hemma-context · form sequence

CA Claypole reserver

1.40pts / match
Spelade5Wins2Drawn1Losses2Poäng7

SignalHemma clean sheets: 3/5

Borta-context · form sequence

El Porvenir reserver

2.60pts / match
Spelade5Wins4Drawn1Losses0Poäng13

SignalBorta unbeaten 5/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
52%
Vunnen probability excluding draw
21%
7
Points from supplied form
13
1.30
Expected goals
0.69
CA Claypole reserverEl Porvenir reserver
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Model and market agree on HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01CA Claypole reserver signalHemma clean sheets: 3/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02El Porvenir reserver signalBorta unbeaten 5/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk48% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Oavgjort probability alone is 27%.

Match questions

CA Claypole reserver vs El Porvenir reserver FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Hemmaseger · Projected score 1–1 · 52% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

CA Claypole reserver vunnen 52%,Oavgjort 27%,El Porvenir reserver vunnen 21%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 1.99 · Över 2.5 32% · Current selection Under