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ARG Argentina Primera B Metropolitana · Final ·

Real Pilar vs CA Brown de Adrogue

Prediction review

Home form
Final score2–0Forecast 1–1
Away form
Home win43%
Draw31%
Away win26%
Full model forecastHome winTier A · 43% selection probability
Prediction Won
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Model and market agree on HOME Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callHome win43% selection probability
Projected score1–1Real PilarCA Brown de Adrogue
Expected goals1.67Low-scoring match profile
Goals 2.5Under77% for the selected side
Both teams scoreNo70% for the selected side
Expected corners8.7Under 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketSelectionProbabilityFair odds
43% / 31% / 26%Match resultHome win43%2.33
Derived from 1X2 · excludes CA Brown de Adrogue win (25.8%)Double chance1X74.2%1.35
Over 23% · Under 77%Goals 2.5Under77%1.30
Yes 30% · No 70%Both teams scoreNo70%1.43
1.67 total expected goalsCorrect score1–1
8.7 expected match cornersCornersUnder 9.5
Price comparison

Published forecast vs reference market

Reference odds are converted to normalized probabilities. The gap is descriptive and is not a claim of guaranteed value.

Displayed margin11.5%Largest probability gapCA Brown de Adrogue winDifference-0.4 pp
OutcomeForecastFair oddsReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
Real Pilar win43%2.332.1042.7%+0.3 pp
Draw31%3.232.9030.9%+0.1 pp
CA Brown de Adrogue win26%3.853.4026.4%-0.4 pp

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Real Pilar1.08

Home share of expected goals 64.7%

Total expected goals1.67Low-scoring

Dedicated goals model: Over 23% · Under 77%

CA Brown de Adrogue0.59

Away share of expected goals 35.3%

Projected score1–1BTTS splitYes 30% · No 70%Match profileLow-scoring
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Home-context · form sequence

Real Pilar

2.20pts / match
Played5Wins3Drawn2Losses0Points11

SignalHome unbeaten 5/5

Away-context · form sequence

CA Brown de Adrogue

1.60pts / match
Played5Wins2Drawn2Losses1Points8

SignalHome clean sheets: 3/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
43%
Win probability excluding draw
26%
11
Points from supplied form
8
1.08
Expected goals
0.59
Real PilarCA Brown de Adrogue
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Model and market agree on HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Real Pilar signalHome unbeaten 5/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02CA Brown de Adrogue signalHome clean sheets: 3/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk57% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Draw probability alone is 31%.

Match questions

Real Pilar vs CA Brown de Adrogue FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Home win · Projected score 1–1 · 43% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Real Pilar win 43%,Draw 31%,CA Brown de Adrogue win 26%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 1.67 · Over 2.5 23% · Current selection Under