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ARG Argentinien - Primera B Metropolitana · Final ·

Real Pilar vs CA Brown de Adrogue

Prediction review

Heim form
Final score2–0Prognose 1–1
Auswärts form
Heimsieg43%
Unentschieden31%
Auswärtssieg26%
Full model forecastHeimsiegTier A · 43% selection probability
Prediction Gewonnen
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Model and market agree on HOME Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callHeimsieg43% selection probability
Projected score1–1Real PilarCA Brown de Adrogue
Expected goals1.67Low-scoring match profile
Goals 2.5Unter77% for the selected side
Beide Teams treffenNein70% for the selected side
Expected corners8.7Unter 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketAuswahlWahrscheinlichkeitFaire Quote
43% / 31% / 26%SpielergebnisHeimsieg43%2.33
Derived from 1X2 · excludes CA Brown de Adrogue win (25.8%)Doppelte Chance1X74.2%1.35
Über 23% · Unter 77%Goals 2.5Unter77%1.30
Ja 30% · Nein 70%Beide Teams treffenNein70%1.43
1.67 total expected goalsGenaues Ergebnis1–1
8.7 expected match cornersEckenUnter 9.5
Price comparison

Published forecast vs reference market

Reference odds are converted to normalized probabilities. The gap is descriptive and is not a claim of guaranteed value.

Displayed margin11.5%Largest probability gapCA Brown de Adrogue winDifference-0.4 pp
OutcomePrognoseFaire QuoteReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
Real Pilar win43%2.332.1042.7%+0.3 pp
Unentschieden31%3.232.9030.9%+0.1 pp
CA Brown de Adrogue win26%3.853.4026.4%-0.4 pp

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Real Pilar1.08

Heim share of expected goals 64.7%

Total expected goals1.67Low-scoring

Dedicated goals model: Über 23% · Unter 77%

CA Brown de Adrogue0.59

Auswärts share of expected goals 35.3%

Projected score1–1BTTS splitJa 30% · Nein 70%Match profileLow-scoring
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Heim-context · form sequence

Real Pilar

2.20pts / match
Gespielt5Wins3Drawn2Losses0Punkte11

SignalHeim unbeaten 5/5

Auswärts-context · form sequence

CA Brown de Adrogue

1.60pts / match
Gespielt5Wins2Drawn2Losses1Punkte8

SignalHeim clean sheets: 3/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
43%
Gewinn probability excluding draw
26%
11
Points from supplied form
8
1.08
Expected goals
0.59
Real PilarCA Brown de Adrogue
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Model and market agree on HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Real Pilar signalHeim unbeaten 5/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02CA Brown de Adrogue signalHeim clean sheets: 3/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk57% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Unentschieden probability alone is 31%.

Match questions

Real Pilar vs CA Brown de Adrogue FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Heimsieg · Projected score 1–1 · 43% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Real Pilar Gewinn 43%,Unentschieden 31%,CA Brown de Adrogue Gewinn 26%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 1.67 · Über 2.5 23% · Current selection Unter