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ARG Argentina Primera B Metropolitana · Final ·

San Martin De Burzaco vs Argentino Quilmes

Prediction review

Home form
Final score3–2Forecast 1–1
Away form
Home win39%
Draw33%
Away win28%
Full model forecastHome winTier A · 39% selection probability
Prediction Won
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Model and market agree on HOME Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callHome win39% selection probability
Projected score1–1San Martin De BurzacoArgentino Quilmes
Expected goals2.04Low-scoring match profile
Goals 2.5Under66% for the selected side
Both teams scoreNo59% for the selected side
Expected corners8.7Under 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketSelectionProbabilityFair odds
39% / 33% / 28%Match resultHome win39%2.56
Derived from 1X2 · excludes Argentino Quilmes win (27.6%)Double chance1X72.4%1.38
Over 34% · Under 66%Goals 2.5Under66%1.52
Yes 41% · No 59%Both teams scoreNo59%1.69
2.04 total expected goalsCorrect score1–1
8.7 expected match cornersCornersUnder 9.5
Price comparison

Published forecast vs reference market

Reference odds are converted to normalized probabilities. The gap is descriptive and is not a claim of guaranteed value.

Displayed margin11.3%Largest probability gapArgentino Quilmes winDifference+0.4 pp
OutcomeForecastFair oddsReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
San Martin De Burzaco win39%2.562.3039.1%-0.1 pp
Draw33%3.032.7033.3%-0.3 pp
Argentino Quilmes win28%3.573.2527.6%+0.4 pp

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

San Martin De Burzaco1.17

Home share of expected goals 57.4%

Total expected goals2.04Low-scoring

Dedicated goals model: Over 34% · Under 66%

Argentino Quilmes0.87

Away share of expected goals 42.6%

Projected score1–1BTTS splitYes 41% · No 59%Match profileLow-scoring
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Home-context · form sequence

San Martin De Burzaco

0.40pts / match
Played5Wins0Drawn2Losses3Points2

SignalHome failed to score: 2/5

Away-context · form sequence

Argentino Quilmes

1.20pts / match
Played5Wins1Drawn3Losses1Points6

SignalAway unbeaten 4/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
39%
Win probability excluding draw
28%
2
Points from supplied form
6
1.17
Expected goals
0.87
San Martin De BurzacoArgentino Quilmes
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Model and market agree on HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01San Martin De Burzaco signalHome failed to score: 2/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Argentino Quilmes signalAway unbeaten 4/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk61% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Draw probability alone is 33%.

Match questions

San Martin De Burzaco vs Argentino Quilmes FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Home win · Projected score 1–1 · 39% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

San Martin De Burzaco win 39%,Draw 33%,Argentino Quilmes win 28%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 2.04 · Over 2.5 34% · Current selection Under