Market dashboard
Every available prediction
Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.
MarketSelectionProbabilityFair odds
58% / 28% / 14%Match resultHome win58%1.72
Derived from 1X2 · excludes Defensores Unidos win (14.5%)Double chance1X85.5%1.17
Over 32% · Under 68%Goals 2.5Under68%1.47
Yes 35% · No 65%Both teams scoreNo65%1.54
2.00 total expected goalsCorrect score1–1——
9.3 expected match cornersCornersUnder 9.5——
Price comparison
Published forecast vs reference market
Reference odds are converted to normalized probabilities. The gap is descriptive and is not a claim of guaranteed value.
Displayed margin11.8%Largest probability gapSportivo Italiano winDifference+0.3 pp
OutcomeForecastFair oddsReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
Sportivo Italiano win58%1.721.5557.7%+0.3 pp
Draw28%3.573.2028%0.0 pp
Defensores Unidos win14%7.146.2514.3%-0.3 pp
Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.
Scoring projection
Expected-goals split
Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.
Home share of expected goals 69%
Total expected goals2.00Low-scoring
Dedicated goals model: Over 32% · Under 68%
Away share of expected goals 31%
Projected score1–1BTTS splitYes 35% · No 65%Match profileLow-scoring
Recent form
Five-result form summary
The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.
Home-context · form sequence
1.40pts / matchSportivo Italiano
LWWLD
Played5Wins2Drawn1Losses2Points7
SignalHome matches over 2.5: 3/5
Away-context · form sequence
0.80pts / matchDefensores Unidos
WLLLD
Played5Wins1Drawn1Losses3Points4
SignalHome clean sheets: 3/5
Side-by-side
Current match outlookMatchup comparison
58%
Win probability excluding draw
14%7
Points from supplied form
41.38
Expected goals
0.62Sportivo ItalianoDefensores Unidos
Signals and risk
What supports — and challenges — the call
Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.
Model and market agree on HOME
This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.
This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.
This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.
The selected outcome can still fail. Draw probability alone is 28%.
Match questions
Sportivo Italiano vs Defensores Unidos FAQ
What is the current prediction?
Current prediction: Home win · Projected score 1–1 · 58% selection probability.
What are the 1X2 probabilities?
Sportivo Italiano win 58%，Draw 28%，Defensores Unidos win 14%。
Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?
Total expected goals 2.00 · Over 2.5 32% · Current selection Under。