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ARG アルゼンチン プリメーラBメトロポリターナ · Final ·

Sportivo Italiano vs Defensores Unidos

Prediction review

ホーム form
Final score0–2予想 1–1
アウェイ form
ホーム勝利58%
引き分け28%
アウェイ勝利14%
Full model forecastホーム勝利Tier A · 58% selection probability
Prediction 不的中
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Model and market agree on HOME Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callホーム勝利58% selection probability
Projected score1–1Sportivo ItalianoDefensores Unidos
Expected goals2.00Low-scoring match profile
Goals 2.5アンダー68% for the selected side
両チーム得点いいえ65% for the selected side
Expected corners9.3アンダー 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

Market選択確率フェアオッズ
58% / 28% / 14%試合結果ホーム勝利58%1.72
Derived from 1X2 · excludes Defensores Unidos win (14.5%)ダブルチャンス1X85.5%1.17
オーバー 32% · アンダー 68%Goals 2.5アンダー68%1.47
はい 35% · いいえ 65%両チーム得点いいえ65%1.54
2.00 total expected goals正確なスコア1–1
9.3 expected match cornersコーナーアンダー 9.5
Price comparison

Published forecast vs reference market

Reference odds are converted to normalized probabilities. The gap is descriptive and is not a claim of guaranteed value.

Displayed margin11.8%Largest probability gapSportivo Italiano winDifference+0.3 pp
Outcome予想フェアオッズReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
Sportivo Italiano win58%1.721.5557.7%+0.3 pp
引き分け28%3.573.2028%0.0 pp
Defensores Unidos win14%7.146.2514.3%-0.3 pp

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Sportivo Italiano1.38

ホーム share of expected goals 69%

Total expected goals2.00Low-scoring

Dedicated goals model: オーバー 32% · アンダー 68%

Defensores Unidos0.62

アウェイ share of expected goals 31%

Projected score1–1BTTS splitはい 35% · いいえ 65%Match profileLow-scoring
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

ホーム-context · form sequence

Sportivo Italiano

1.40pts / match
試合数5Wins2Drawn1Losses2ポイント7

Signalホーム matches over 2.5: 3/5

アウェイ-context · form sequence

Defensores Unidos

0.80pts / match
試合数5Wins1Drawn1Losses3ポイント4

Signalホーム clean sheets: 3/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
58%
勝ち probability excluding draw
14%
7
Points from supplied form
4
1.38
Expected goals
0.62
Sportivo ItalianoDefensores Unidos
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Model and market agree on HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Sportivo Italiano signalホーム matches over 2.5: 3/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Defensores Unidos signalホーム clean sheets: 3/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk42% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. 引き分け probability alone is 28%.

Match questions

Sportivo Italiano vs Defensores Unidos FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: ホーム勝利 · Projected score 1–1 · 58% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Sportivo Italiano 勝ち 58%,引き分け 28%,Defensores Unidos 勝ち 14%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 2.00 · オーバー 2.5 32% · Current selection アンダー