Market dashboard
Every available prediction
Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.
MarketSelectionProbabilityFair odds
43% / 29% / 28%Match resultHome win43%2.33
Derived from 1X2 · excludes Fluminense win (27.9%)Double chance1X72.1%1.39
Over 55% · Under 45%Goals 2.5Over55%1.82
Yes 58% · No 42%Both teams scoreYes58%1.72
2.90 total expected goalsCorrect score2–1——
9.6 expected match cornersCornersUnder 9.5——
Price comparison
Published forecast vs reference market
Reference odds are converted to normalized probabilities. The gap is descriptive and is not a claim of guaranteed value.
Displayed margin5.1%Largest probability gapBotafogo winDifference+0.7 pp
OutcomeForecastFair oddsReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
Botafogo win43%2.332.2542.3%+0.7 pp
Draw29%3.453.2029.7%-0.7 pp
Fluminense win28%3.573.4028%0.0 pp
Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.
Scoring projection
Expected-goals split
Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.
Home share of expected goals 58.6%
Total expected goals2.90Balanced
Dedicated goals model: Over 55% · Under 45%
Away share of expected goals 41.4%
Projected score2–1BTTS splitYes 58% · No 42%Match profileBalanced
Recent form
Five-result form summary
The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.
Home-context · form sequence
2.00pts / matchBotafogo
WDWLW
Played5Wins3Drawn1Losses1Points10
SignalHome unbeaten 4/5
Away-context · form sequence
1.40pts / matchFluminense
DDDDW
Played5Wins1Drawn4Losses0Points7
SignalHome matches over 2.5: 3/5
Side-by-side
Current match outlookMatchup comparison
43%
Win probability excluding draw
28%10
Points from supplied form
71.70
Expected goals
1.20BotafogoFluminense
Signals and risk
What supports — and challenges — the call
Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.
Model and market agree on HOME
This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.
This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.
This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.
The selected outcome can still fail. Draw probability alone is 29%.
Match questions
Botafogo vs Fluminense FAQ
What is the current prediction?
Current prediction: Home win · Projected score 2–1 · 43% selection probability.
What are the 1X2 probabilities?
Botafogo win 43%，Draw 29%，Fluminense win 28%。
Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?
Total expected goals 2.90 · Over 2.5 55% · Current selection Over。