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BRA Brazil Serie A · Мач ·

Ботафого vs Fluminense

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Домакин form
Projected score2–12.90 expected goals
Гост form
Победа за домакина43%
Равен29%
Победа за госта28%
Full model forecastПобеда за домакинаTier A · 43% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Model and market agree on HOME Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callПобеда за домакина43% selection probability
Projected score2–1БотафогоFluminense
Expected goals2.90Balanced match profile
Goals 2.5Над56% for the selected side
И двата отбора да отбележатДа58% for the selected side
Expected corners9.6Под 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketИзборВероятностСправедлив коефициент
43% / 29% / 28%Резултат от мачаПобеда за домакина43%2.33
Derived from 1X2 · excludes Fluminense win (27.9%)Двоен шанс1X72.1%1.39
Над 56% · Под 44%Goals 2.5Над56%1.79
Да 58% · Не 42%И двата отбора да отбележатДа58%1.72
2.90 total expected goalsТочен резултат2–1
9.6 expected match cornersКорнериПод 9.5
Price comparison

Published forecast vs reference market

Reference odds are converted to normalized probabilities. The gap is descriptive and is not a claim of guaranteed value.

Displayed margin5.1%Largest probability gapБотафого winDifference+0.7 pp
OutcomeПрогнозаСправедлив коефициентReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
Ботафого win43%2.332.2542.3%+0.7 pp
Равен29%3.453.2029.7%-0.7 pp
Fluminense win28%3.573.4028%0.0 pp

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Ботафого1.70

Домакин share of expected goals 58.6%

Total expected goals2.90Balanced

Dedicated goals model: Над 56% · Под 44%

Fluminense1.20

Гост share of expected goals 41.4%

Projected score2–1BTTS splitДа 58% · Не 42%Match profileBalanced
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Домакин-context · form sequence

Ботафого

2.00pts / match
Изиграни5Wins3Drawn1Losses1Точки10

SignalДомакин unbeaten 4/5

Гост-context · form sequence

Fluminense

1.40pts / match
Изиграни5Wins1Drawn4Losses0Точки7

SignalДомакин matches over 2.5: 3/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
43%
Печеливш probability excluding draw
28%
10
Points from supplied form
7
1.70
Expected goals
1.20
БотафогоFluminense
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Model and market agree on HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Ботафого signalДомакин unbeaten 4/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Fluminense signalДомакин matches over 2.5: 3/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk57% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Равен probability alone is 29%.

Match questions

Ботафого vs Fluminense FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Победа за домакина · Projected score 2–1 · 43% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Ботафого печеливш 43%,Равен 29%,Fluminense печеливш 28%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 2.90 · Над 2.5 56% · Current selection Над