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INT Northern Ireland Championship Women · Fixture ·

Mid Ulster (W) vs Ballymoney United (W)

Market-based forecast,stats and analysis

Home form
Projected score2–23.63 expected goals
Away form
Home win38%
Draw21%
Away win41%
Market-based forecastAway winTier B · 41% selection probability
Market-based forecast · Tier B

Match prediction

Market-led fallback leans AWAY Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callAway win41% selection probability
Projected score2–2Mid Ulster (W)Ballymoney United (W)
Expected goals3.63Open match profile
Goals 2.5Over70% for the selected side
Both teams scoreYes70% for the selected side
Expected corners7.5Under 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketSelectionProbabilityFair odds
38% / 21% / 41%Match resultAway win41%2.44
Derived from 1X2 · excludes draw (20.9%)Double chance1279.1%1.26
Over 70% · Under 30%Goals 2.5Over70%1.43
Yes 70% · No 30%Both teams scoreYes70%1.43
3.63 total expected goalsCorrect score2–2
7.5 expected match cornersCornersUnder 9.5
Price comparison

Reference market used for this forecast

This market-based forecast is aligned to the normalized pre-match 1X2 reference. The comparison is contextual and makes no betting-edge claim.

Displayed margin11.3%Forecast sourceMarket-basedEdge claimNone
OutcomeForecastFair oddsReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
Mid Ulster (W) win38%2.632.4037.4%
Draw21%4.764.3320.8%
Ballymoney United (W) win41%2.442.1541.8%

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Mid Ulster (W)1.80

Home share of expected goals 49.6%

Total expected goals3.63Open

Dedicated goals model: Over 70% · Under 30%

Ballymoney United (W)1.83

Away share of expected goals 50.4%

Projected score2–2BTTS splitYes 70% · No 30%Match profileOpen
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Home-context · form sequence

Mid Ulster (W)

0.80pts / match
Played5Wins1Drawn1Losses3Points4

SignalHome matches over 2.5: 3/5

Away-context · form sequence

Ballymoney United (W)

1.80pts / match
Played5Wins3Drawn0Losses2Points9

SignalHome failed to score: 3/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
38%
Win probability excluding draw
41%
4
Points from supplied form
9
1.80
Expected goals
1.83
Mid Ulster (W)Ballymoney United (W)
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Market-led fallback leans AWAY

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Mid Ulster (W) signalHome matches over 2.5: 3/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Ballymoney United (W) signalHome failed to score: 3/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk59% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Draw probability alone is 21%.

Match questions

Mid Ulster (W) vs Ballymoney United (W) FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Away win · Projected score 2–2 · 41% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Mid Ulster (W) win 38%,Draw 21%,Ballymoney United (W) win 41%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 3.63 · Over 2.5 70% · Current selection Over