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NOR Norway Division 3 Group 1 · Fixture ·

Asker vs Valerenga 2

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Home form
Projected score5–15.67 expected goals
Away form
Home win75%
Draw13%
Away win12%
Full model forecastHome winTier A · 75% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Model and market agree on HOME Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callHome win75% selection probability
Projected score5–1AskerValerenga 2
Expected goals5.67Open match profile
Goals 2.5Over92% for the selected side
Both teams scoreYes66% for the selected side
Expected corners10.3Over 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketSelectionProbabilityFair odds
75% / 13% / 12%Match resultHome win75%1.33
Derived from 1X2 · excludes Valerenga 2 win (11.7%)Double chance1X88.3%1.13
Over 92% · Under 8%Goals 2.5Over92%1.09
Yes 66% · No 34%Both teams scoreYes66%1.52
5.67 total expected goalsCorrect score5–1
10.3 expected match cornersCornersOver 9.5
Price comparison

Published forecast vs reference market

Reference odds are converted to normalized probabilities. The gap is descriptive and is not a claim of guaranteed value.

Displayed margin11.6%Largest probability gapAsker winDifference+1.6 pp
OutcomeForecastFair oddsReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
Asker win75%1.331.2273.4%+1.6 pp
Draw13%7.696.5013.8%-0.8 pp
Valerenga 2 win12%8.337.0012.8%-0.8 pp

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Asker4.58

Home share of expected goals 80.8%

Total expected goals5.67Open

Dedicated goals model: Over 92% · Under 8%

Valerenga 21.09

Away share of expected goals 19.2%

Projected score5–1BTTS splitYes 66% · No 34%Match profileOpen
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Home-context · form sequence

Asker

3.00pts / match
Played5Wins5Drawn0Losses0Points15

SignalHome unbeaten 5/5

Away-context · form sequence

Valerenga 2

2.40pts / match
Played5Wins4Drawn0Losses1Points12

SignalHome matches over 2.5: 4/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
75%
Win probability excluding draw
12%
15
Points from supplied form
12
4.58
Expected goals
1.09
AskerValerenga 2
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Model and market agree on HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Asker signalHome unbeaten 5/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Valerenga 2 signalHome matches over 2.5: 4/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk25% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Draw probability alone is 13%.

Match questions

Asker vs Valerenga 2 FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Home win · Projected score 5–1 · 75% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Asker win 75%,Draw 13%,Valerenga 2 win 12%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 5.67 · Over 2.5 92% · Current selection Over