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NOR Norvège - Division 3 - Groupe 1 · Match ·

Asker vs Valerenga 2

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Domicile form
Projected score5–15.67 expected goals
Extérieur form
Victoire à domicile75%
Nul13%
Victoire à l’extérieur12%
Full model forecastVictoire à domicileTier A · 75% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Model and market agree on HOME Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callVictoire à domicile75% selection probability
Projected score5–1AskerValerenga 2
Expected goals5.67Ouverture match profile
Goals 2.5Plus de92% for the selected side
Les deux équipes marquentOui66% for the selected side
Expected corners10.3Plus de 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketSélectionProbabilitéCote juste
75% / 13% / 12%Résultat du matchVictoire à domicile75%1.33
Derived from 1X2 · excludes Valerenga 2 win (11.7%)Double chance1X88.3%1.13
Plus de 92% · Moins de 8%Goals 2.5Plus de92%1.09
Oui 66% · Non 34%Les deux équipes marquentOui66%1.52
5.67 total expected goalsScore exact5–1
10.3 expected match cornersCornersPlus de 9.5
Price comparison

Published forecast vs reference market

Reference odds are converted to normalized probabilities. The gap is descriptive and is not a claim of guaranteed value.

Displayed margin11.6%Largest probability gapAsker winDifference+1.6 pp
OutcomePronosticCote justeReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
Asker win75%1.331.2273.4%+1.6 pp
Nul13%7.696.5013.8%-0.8 pp
Valerenga 2 win12%8.337.0012.8%-0.8 pp

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Asker4.58

Domicile share of expected goals 80.8%

Total expected goals5.67Ouverture

Dedicated goals model: Plus de 92% · Moins de 8%

Valerenga 21.09

Extérieur share of expected goals 19.2%

Projected score5–1BTTS splitOui 66% · Non 34%Match profileOuverture
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Domicile-context · form sequence

Asker

3.00pts / match
Joués5Wins5Drawn0Losses0Points15

SignalDomicile unbeaten 5/5

Extérieur-context · form sequence

Valerenga 2

2.40pts / match
Joués5Wins4Drawn0Losses1Points12

SignalDomicile matches over 2.5: 4/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
75%
Gagné probability excluding draw
12%
15
Points from supplied form
12
4.58
Expected goals
1.09
AskerValerenga 2
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Model and market agree on HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Asker signalDomicile unbeaten 5/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Valerenga 2 signalDomicile matches over 2.5: 4/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk25% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Nul probability alone is 13%.

Match questions

Asker vs Valerenga 2 FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Victoire à domicile · Projected score 5–1 · 75% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Asker victoire 75%,Nul 13%,Valerenga 2 victoire 12%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 5.67 · Plus de 2.5 92% · Current selection Plus de