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ARG Argentina Primera B Metropolitana · Final ·

Arsenal de Sarandi vs CA Ituzaingo

Prediction review

Home form
Final score2–0Forecast 2–0
Away form
Home win66%
Draw24%
Away win11%
Full model forecastHome winTier A · 66% selection probability
Prediction Won
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Model and market agree on HOME Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callHome win66% selection probability
Projected score2–0Arsenal de SarandiCA Ituzaingo
Expected goals2.38Balanced match profile
Goals 2.5Under57% for the selected side
Both teams scoreNo69% for the selected side
Expected corners8.8Under 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketSelectionProbabilityFair odds
66% / 24% / 11%Match resultHome win66%1.52
Derived from 1X2 · excludes CA Ituzaingo win (10.8%)Double chance1X89.2%1.12
Over 43% · Under 57%Goals 2.5Under57%1.75
Yes 31% · No 69%Both teams scoreNo69%1.45
2.38 total expected goalsCorrect score2–0
8.8 expected match cornersCornersUnder 9.5
Price comparison

Published forecast vs reference market

Reference odds are converted to normalized probabilities. The gap is descriptive and is not a claim of guaranteed value.

Displayed margin11.6%Largest probability gapArsenal de Sarandi winDifference+1.1 pp
OutcomeForecastFair oddsReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
Arsenal de Sarandi win66%1.521.3864.9%+1.1 pp
Draw24%4.173.7523.9%+0.1 pp
CA Ituzaingo win11%9.098.0011.2%-0.2 pp

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Arsenal de Sarandi1.94

Home share of expected goals 81.5%

Total expected goals2.38Balanced

Dedicated goals model: Over 43% · Under 57%

CA Ituzaingo0.44

Away share of expected goals 18.5%

Projected score2–0BTTS splitYes 31% · No 69%Match profileBalanced
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Home-context · form sequence

Arsenal de Sarandi

0.80pts / match
Played5Wins0Drawn4Losses1Points4

SignalHome unbeaten 4/5

Away-context · form sequence

CA Ituzaingo

0.80pts / match
Played5Wins0Drawn4Losses1Points4

SignalHome matches under 2.5: 5/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
66%
Win probability excluding draw
11%
4
Points from supplied form
4
1.94
Expected goals
0.44
Arsenal de SarandiCA Ituzaingo
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Model and market agree on HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Arsenal de Sarandi signalHome unbeaten 4/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02CA Ituzaingo signalHome matches under 2.5: 5/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk34% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Draw probability alone is 24%.

Match questions

Arsenal de Sarandi vs CA Ituzaingo FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Home win · Projected score 2–0 · 66% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Arsenal de Sarandi win 66%,Draw 24%,CA Ituzaingo win 11%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 2.38 · Over 2.5 43% · Current selection Under