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ARG Argentinien - Primera B Metropolitana · Final ·

Arsenal de Sarandi vs CA Ituzaingo

Prediction review

Heim form
Final score2–0Prognose 2–0
Auswärts form
Heimsieg66%
Unentschieden24%
Auswärtssieg11%
Full model forecastHeimsiegTier A · 66% selection probability
Prediction Gewonnen
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Model and market agree on HOME Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callHeimsieg66% selection probability
Projected score2–0Arsenal de SarandiCA Ituzaingo
Expected goals2.38Balanced match profile
Goals 2.5Unter57% for the selected side
Beide Teams treffenNein69% for the selected side
Expected corners8.8Unter 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketAuswahlWahrscheinlichkeitFaire Quote
66% / 24% / 11%SpielergebnisHeimsieg66%1.52
Derived from 1X2 · excludes CA Ituzaingo win (10.8%)Doppelte Chance1X89.2%1.12
Über 43% · Unter 57%Goals 2.5Unter57%1.75
Ja 31% · Nein 69%Beide Teams treffenNein69%1.45
2.38 total expected goalsGenaues Ergebnis2–0
8.8 expected match cornersEckenUnter 9.5
Price comparison

Published forecast vs reference market

Reference odds are converted to normalized probabilities. The gap is descriptive and is not a claim of guaranteed value.

Displayed margin11.6%Largest probability gapArsenal de Sarandi winDifference+1.1 pp
OutcomePrognoseFaire QuoteReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
Arsenal de Sarandi win66%1.521.3864.9%+1.1 pp
Unentschieden24%4.173.7523.9%+0.1 pp
CA Ituzaingo win11%9.098.0011.2%-0.2 pp

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Arsenal de Sarandi1.94

Heim share of expected goals 81.5%

Total expected goals2.38Balanced

Dedicated goals model: Über 43% · Unter 57%

CA Ituzaingo0.44

Auswärts share of expected goals 18.5%

Projected score2–0BTTS splitJa 31% · Nein 69%Match profileBalanced
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Heim-context · form sequence

Arsenal de Sarandi

0.80pts / match
Gespielt5Wins0Drawn4Losses1Punkte4

SignalHeim unbeaten 4/5

Auswärts-context · form sequence

CA Ituzaingo

0.80pts / match
Gespielt5Wins0Drawn4Losses1Punkte4

SignalHeim matches under 2.5: 5/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
66%
Gewinn probability excluding draw
11%
4
Points from supplied form
4
1.94
Expected goals
0.44
Arsenal de SarandiCA Ituzaingo
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Model and market agree on HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Arsenal de Sarandi signalHeim unbeaten 4/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02CA Ituzaingo signalHeim matches under 2.5: 5/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk34% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Unentschieden probability alone is 24%.

Match questions

Arsenal de Sarandi vs CA Ituzaingo FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Heimsieg · Projected score 2–0 · 66% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Arsenal de Sarandi Gewinn 66%,Unentschieden 24%,CA Ituzaingo Gewinn 11%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 2.38 · Über 2.5 43% · Current selection Unter