Market dashboard
Every available prediction
Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.
MarketSelectionProbabilityFair odds
50% / 24% / 27%Match resultHome win50%2.00
Derived from 1X2 · excludes draw (23.8%)Double chance1276.2%1.31
Over 61% · Under 39%Goals 2.5Over61%1.64
Yes 59% · No 41%Both teams scoreYes59%1.69
3.14 total expected goalsCorrect score2–1——
9.8 expected match cornersCornersOver 9.5——
Price comparison
Published forecast vs reference market
Reference odds are converted to normalized probabilities. The gap is descriptive and is not a claim of guaranteed value.
Displayed margin11.6%Largest probability gapArendal winDifference+1.0 pp
OutcomeForecastFair oddsReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
Arendal win50%2.001.8349%+1.0 pp
Draw24%4.173.7523.9%+0.1 pp
Pors Grenland win27%3.703.3027.1%-0.1 pp
Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.
Scoring projection
Expected-goals split
Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.
Home share of expected goals 63.7%
Total expected goals3.14Open
Dedicated goals model: Over 61% · Under 39%
Away share of expected goals 36.3%
Projected score2–1BTTS splitYes 59% · No 41%Match profileOpen
Recent form
Five-result form summary
The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.
Home-context · form sequence
2.00pts / matchArendal
LWWWD
Played5Wins3Drawn1Losses1Points10
SignalHome unbeaten 4/5
Away-context · form sequence
1.60pts / matchPors Grenland
DWLWD
Played5Wins2Drawn2Losses1Points8
SignalHome matches over 2.5: 4/5
Side-by-side
Current match outlookMatchup comparison
50%
Win probability excluding draw
27%10
Points from supplied form
82.00
Expected goals
1.14ArendalPors Grenland
Signals and risk
What supports — and challenges — the call
Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.
Model and market agree on HOME
This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.
This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.
This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.
The selected outcome can still fail. Draw probability alone is 24%.
Match questions
Arendal vs Pors Grenland FAQ
What is the current prediction?
Current prediction: Home win · Projected score 2–1 · 50% selection probability.
What are the 1X2 probabilities?
Arendal win 50%，Draw 24%，Pors Grenland win 27%。
Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?
Total expected goals 3.14 · Over 2.5 61% · Current selection Over。