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アーレンダール vs ポルスグレンランド

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

ホーム form
Projected score2–13.14 expected goals
アウェイ form
ホーム勝利50%
引き分け24%
アウェイ勝利27%
Full model forecastホーム勝利Tier A · 50% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Model and market agree on HOME Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callホーム勝利50% selection probability
Projected score2–1アーレンダールポルスグレンランド
Expected goals3.14始値 match profile
Goals 2.5オーバー61% for the selected side
両チーム得点はい59% for the selected side
Expected corners9.8オーバー 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

Market選択確率フェアオッズ
50% / 24% / 27%試合結果ホーム勝利50%2.00
Derived from 1X2 · excludes draw (23.8%)ダブルチャンス1276.2%1.31
オーバー 61% · アンダー 39%Goals 2.5オーバー61%1.64
はい 59% · いいえ 41%両チーム得点はい59%1.69
3.14 total expected goals正確なスコア2–1
9.8 expected match cornersコーナーオーバー 9.5
Price comparison

Published forecast vs reference market

Reference odds are converted to normalized probabilities. The gap is descriptive and is not a claim of guaranteed value.

Displayed margin11.6%Largest probability gapアーレンダール winDifference+1.0 pp
Outcome予想フェアオッズReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
アーレンダール win50%2.001.8349%+1.0 pp
引き分け24%4.173.7523.9%+0.1 pp
ポルスグレンランド win27%3.703.3027.1%-0.1 pp

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

アーレンダール2.00

ホーム share of expected goals 63.7%

Total expected goals3.14始値

Dedicated goals model: オーバー 61% · アンダー 39%

ポルスグレンランド1.14

アウェイ share of expected goals 36.3%

Projected score2–1BTTS splitはい 59% · いいえ 41%Match profile始値
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

ホーム-context · form sequence

アーレンダール

2.00pts / match
試合数5Wins3Drawn1Losses1ポイント10

Signalホーム unbeaten 4/5

アウェイ-context · form sequence

ポルスグレンランド

1.60pts / match
試合数5Wins2Drawn2Losses1ポイント8

Signalホーム matches over 2.5: 4/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
50%
勝ち probability excluding draw
27%
10
Points from supplied form
8
2.00
Expected goals
1.14
アーレンダールポルスグレンランド
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Model and market agree on HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01アーレンダール signalホーム unbeaten 4/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02ポルスグレンランド signalホーム matches over 2.5: 4/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk50% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. 引き分け probability alone is 24%.

Match questions

アーレンダール vs ポルスグレンランド FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: ホーム勝利 · Projected score 2–1 · 50% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

アーレンダール 勝ち 50%,引き分け 24%,ポルスグレンランド 勝ち 27%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 3.14 · オーバー 2.5 61% · Current selection オーバー