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NOR Norway Division 2 Group 1 · Fixture ·

FK Jerv vs Vidar

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Home form
Projected score4–14.43 expected goals
Away form
Home win79%
Draw13%
Away win8%
Full model forecastHome winTier A · 79% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Model and market agree on HOME Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callHome win79% selection probability
Projected score4–1FK JervVidar
Expected goals4.43Open match profile
Goals 2.5Over82% for the selected side
Both teams scoreNo54% for the selected side
Expected corners10.4Over 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketSelectionProbabilityFair odds
79% / 13% / 8%Match resultHome win79%1.27
Derived from 1X2 · excludes Vidar win (7.6%)Double chance1X92.4%1.08
Over 82% · Under 18%Goals 2.5Over82%1.22
Yes 46% · No 54%Both teams scoreNo54%1.85
4.43 total expected goalsCorrect score4–1
10.4 expected match cornersCornersOver 9.5
Price comparison

Published forecast vs reference market

Reference odds are converted to normalized probabilities. The gap is descriptive and is not a claim of guaranteed value.

Displayed margin9.9%Largest probability gapFK Jerv winDifference+1.3 pp
OutcomeForecastFair oddsReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
FK Jerv win79%1.271.1777.7%+1.3 pp
Draw13%7.696.5014%-1.0 pp
Vidar win8%12.5011.008.3%-0.3 pp

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

FK Jerv3.80

Home share of expected goals 85.8%

Total expected goals4.43Open

Dedicated goals model: Over 82% · Under 18%

Vidar0.63

Away share of expected goals 14.2%

Projected score4–1BTTS splitYes 46% · No 54%Match profileOpen
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Home-context · form sequence

FK Jerv

1.80pts / match
Played5Wins3Drawn0Losses2Points9

SignalHome won 3/5

Away-context · form sequence

Vidar

1.00pts / match
Played5Wins1Drawn2Losses2Points5

SignalHome matches over 2.5: 5/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
79%
Win probability excluding draw
8%
9
Points from supplied form
5
3.80
Expected goals
0.63
FK JervVidar
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Model and market agree on HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01FK Jerv signalHome won 3/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Vidar signalHome matches over 2.5: 5/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk21% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Draw probability alone is 13%.

Match questions

FK Jerv vs Vidar FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Home win · Projected score 4–1 · 79% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

FK Jerv win 79%,Draw 13%,Vidar win 8%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 4.43 · Over 2.5 82% · Current selection Over