Market dashboard
Every available prediction
Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.
MarketSelectionProbabilityFair odds
24% / 31% / 45%Match resultAway win45%2.22
Derived from 1X2 · excludes Lokomotiv Plovdiv win (23.9%)Double chanceX276.1%1.31
Over 27% · Under 73%Goals 2.5Under73%1.37
Yes 35% · No 65%Both teams scoreNo65%1.54
1.78 total expected goalsCorrect score1–1——
8.5 expected match cornersCornersUnder 9.5——
Price comparison
Published forecast vs reference market
Reference odds are converted to normalized probabilities. The gap is descriptive and is not a claim of guaranteed value.
Displayed margin6.0%Largest probability gapArda Kardzhali winDifference-1.0 pp
OutcomeForecastFair oddsReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
Lokomotiv Plovdiv win24%4.174.0023.6%+0.4 pp
Draw31%3.233.1030.4%+0.6 pp
Arda Kardzhali win45%2.222.0546%-1.0 pp
Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.
Scoring projection
Expected-goals split
Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.
Home share of expected goals 44.9%
Total expected goals1.78Low-scoring
Dedicated goals model: Over 27% · Under 73%
Away share of expected goals 55.1%
Projected score1–1BTTS splitYes 35% · No 65%Match profileLow-scoring
Recent form
Five-result form summary
The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.
Home-context · form sequence
0.60pts / matchLokomotiv Plovdiv
LLLWL
Played5Wins1Drawn0Losses4Points3
SignalHome failed to score: 3/5
Away-context · form sequence
2.00pts / matchArda Kardzhali
WWLWD
Played5Wins3Drawn1Losses1Points10
SignalAway unbeaten 4/5
Side-by-side
Current match outlookMatchup comparison
24%
Win probability excluding draw
45%3
Points from supplied form
100.80
Expected goals
0.98Lokomotiv PlovdivArda Kardzhali
Signals and risk
What supports — and challenges — the call
Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.
Model and market agree on AWAY
This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.
This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.
This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.
The selected outcome can still fail. Draw probability alone is 31%.
Match questions
Lokomotiv Plovdiv vs Arda Kardzhali FAQ
What is the current prediction?
Current prediction: Away win · Projected score 1–1 · 45% selection probability.
What are the 1X2 probabilities?
Lokomotiv Plovdiv win 24%，Draw 31%，Arda Kardzhali win 45%。
Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?
Total expected goals 1.78 · Over 2.5 27% · Current selection Under。