Market dashboard
Every available prediction
Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.
MarketSelectionProbabilityFair odds
58% / 21% / 21%Match resultHome win58%1.72
Derived from 1X2 · excludes draw (21.2%)Double chance1278.8%1.27
Over 61% · Under 39%Goals 2.5Over61%1.64
Yes 51% · No 49%Both teams scoreYes51%1.96
3.15 total expected goalsCorrect score2–1——
11.6 expected match cornersCornersOver 9.5——
Price comparison
Published forecast vs reference market
Reference odds are converted to normalized probabilities. The gap is descriptive and is not a claim of guaranteed value.
Displayed margin11.3%Largest probability gapLeiknir Reykjavik winDifference+1.9 pp
OutcomeForecastFair oddsReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
Leiknir Reykjavik win58%1.721.6056.1%+1.9 pp
Draw21%4.764.2021.4%-0.4 pp
Aegir win21%4.764.0022.5%-1.5 pp
Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.
Scoring projection
Expected-goals split
Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.
Home share of expected goals 74.3%
Total expected goals3.15Open
Dedicated goals model: Over 61% · Under 39%
Away share of expected goals 25.7%
Projected score2–1BTTS splitYes 51% · No 49%Match profileOpen
Recent form
Five-result form summary
The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.
Home-context · form sequence
0.60pts / matchLeiknir Reykjavik
LWLLL
Played5Wins1Drawn0Losses4Points3
SignalHome matches over 2.5: 4/5
Away-context · form sequence
0.00pts / matchAegir
LLLLL
Played5Wins0Drawn0Losses5Points0
SignalAway matches over 2.5: 3/5
Side-by-side
Current match outlookMatchup comparison
58%
Win probability excluding draw
21%3
Points from supplied form
02.34
Expected goals
0.81Leiknir ReykjavikAegir
Signals and risk
What supports — and challenges — the call
Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.
Model and market agree on HOME
This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.
This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.
This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.
The selected outcome can still fail. Draw probability alone is 21%.
Match questions
Leiknir Reykjavik vs Aegir FAQ
What is the current prediction?
Current prediction: Home win · Projected score 2–1 · 58% selection probability.
What are the 1X2 probabilities?
Leiknir Reykjavik win 58%，Draw 21%，Aegir win 21%。
Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?
Total expected goals 3.15 · Over 2.5 61% · Current selection Over。