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FIN Finland Kolmonen · Final ·

LTU vs ACF

Prediction review

Home form
Final score4–1Forecast 1–1
Away form
Home win58%
Draw21%
Away win21%
Full model forecastHome winTier A · 58% selection probability
Prediction Won
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Model and market agree on HOME Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callHome win58% selection probability
Projected score1–1LTUACF
Expected goals1.67Low-scoring match profile
Goals 2.5Under76% for the selected side
Both teams scoreNo70% for the selected side
Expected corners10.2Over 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketSelectionProbabilityFair odds
58% / 21% / 21%Match resultHome win58%1.72
Derived from 1X2 · excludes ACF win (20.8%)Double chance1X79.2%1.26
Over 24% · Under 76%Goals 2.5Under76%1.32
Yes 30% · No 70%Both teams scoreNo70%1.43
1.67 total expected goalsCorrect score1–1
10.2 expected match cornersCornersOver 9.5
Price comparison

Published forecast vs reference market

Reference odds are converted to normalized probabilities. The gap is descriptive and is not a claim of guaranteed value.

Displayed margin10.7%Largest probability gapLTU winDifference-1.1 pp
OutcomeForecastFair oddsReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
LTU win58%1.721.5359.1%-1.1 pp
Draw21%4.764.5020.1%+0.9 pp
ACF win21%4.764.3320.9%+0.1 pp

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

LTU1.09

Home share of expected goals 65.3%

Total expected goals1.67Low-scoring

Dedicated goals model: Over 24% · Under 76%

ACF0.58

Away share of expected goals 34.7%

Projected score1–1BTTS splitYes 30% · No 70%Match profileLow-scoring
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Home-context · form sequence

LTU

1.40pts / match
Played5Wins2Drawn1Losses2Points7

SignalHome clean sheets: 2/5

Away-context · form sequence

ACF

1.00pts / match
Played5Wins1Drawn2Losses2Points5

SignalAway matches over 2.5: 4/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
58%
Win probability excluding draw
21%
7
Points from supplied form
5
1.09
Expected goals
0.58
LTUACF
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Model and market agree on HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01LTU signalHome clean sheets: 2/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02ACF signalAway matches over 2.5: 4/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk42% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Draw probability alone is 21%.

Match questions

LTU vs ACF FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Home win · Projected score 1–1 · 58% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

LTU win 58%,Draw 21%,ACF win 21%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 1.67 · Over 2.5 24% · Current selection Under