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FIN Finland Kolmonen · Fixture ·

Komeetat vs KeuPa

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Home form
Projected score1–22.75 expected goals
Away form
Home win32%
Draw21%
Away win47%
Full model forecastAway winTier A · 47% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Model and market agree on AWAY Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callAway win47% selection probability
Projected score1–2KomeetatKeuPa
Expected goals2.75Balanced match profile
Goals 2.5Over52% for the selected side
Both teams scoreYes53% for the selected side
Expected corners10.7Over 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketSelectionProbabilityFair odds
32% / 21% / 47%Match resultAway win47%2.13
Derived from 1X2 · excludes draw (20.9%)Double chance1279.1%1.26
Over 52% · Under 48%Goals 2.5Over52%1.92
Yes 53% · No 47%Both teams scoreYes53%1.89
2.75 total expected goalsCorrect score1–2
10.7 expected match cornersCornersOver 9.5
Price comparison

Published forecast vs reference market

Reference odds are converted to normalized probabilities. The gap is descriptive and is not a claim of guaranteed value.

Displayed margin12.1%Largest probability gapKomeetat winDifference-0.4 pp
OutcomeForecastFair oddsReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
Komeetat win32%3.132.7532.4%-0.4 pp
Draw21%4.764.3320.6%+0.4 pp
KeuPa win47%2.131.9047%0.0 pp

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Komeetat1.05

Home share of expected goals 38.2%

Total expected goals2.75Balanced

Dedicated goals model: Over 52% · Under 48%

KeuPa1.70

Away share of expected goals 61.8%

Projected score1–2BTTS splitYes 53% · No 47%Match profileBalanced
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Home-context · form sequence

Komeetat

1.60pts / match
Played5Wins2Drawn2Losses1Points8

SignalHome unbeaten 4/5

Away-context · form sequence

KeuPa

1.40pts / match
Played5Wins2Drawn1Losses2Points7

SignalHome unbeaten in 3 recent home matches

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
32%
Win probability excluding draw
47%
8
Points from supplied form
7
1.05
Expected goals
1.70
KomeetatKeuPa
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Model and market agree on AWAY

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Komeetat signalHome unbeaten 4/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02KeuPa signalHome unbeaten in 3 recent home matches

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk53% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Draw probability alone is 21%.

Match questions

Komeetat vs KeuPa FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Away win · Projected score 1–2 · 47% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Komeetat win 32%,Draw 21%,KeuPa win 47%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 2.75 · Over 2.5 52% · Current selection Over