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FIN Finland Kolmonen · Fixture ·

FC Kontu vs MPS/Atletico Malmi

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Home form
Projected score1–23.29 expected goals
Away form
Home win21%
Draw18%
Away win61%
Full model forecastAway winTier A · 61% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Model and market agree on AWAY Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callAway win61% selection probability
Projected score1–2FC KontuMPS/Atletico Malmi
Expected goals3.29Open match profile
Goals 2.5Over64% for the selected side
Both teams scoreYes64% for the selected side
Expected corners9.7Under 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketSelectionProbabilityFair odds
21% / 18% / 61%Match resultAway win61%1.64
Derived from 1X2 · excludes draw (18.4%)Double chance1281.6%1.23
Over 64% · Under 36%Goals 2.5Over64%1.56
Yes 64% · No 36%Both teams scoreYes64%1.56
3.29 total expected goalsCorrect score1–2
9.7 expected match cornersCornersUnder 9.5
Price comparison

Published forecast vs reference market

Reference odds are converted to normalized probabilities. The gap is descriptive and is not a claim of guaranteed value.

Displayed margin11.2%Largest probability gapFC Kontu winDifference+1.0 pp
OutcomeForecastFair oddsReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
FC Kontu win21%4.764.5020%+1.0 pp
Draw18%5.565.0018%0.0 pp
MPS/Atletico Malmi win61%1.641.4562%-1.0 pp

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

FC Kontu1.40

Home share of expected goals 42.6%

Total expected goals3.29Open

Dedicated goals model: Over 64% · Under 36%

MPS/Atletico Malmi1.89

Away share of expected goals 57.4%

Projected score1–2BTTS splitYes 64% · No 36%Match profileOpen
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Home-context · form sequence

FC Kontu

1.80pts / match
Played5Wins3Drawn0Losses2Points9

SignalHome won 3/5

Away-context · form sequence

MPS/Atletico Malmi

1.40pts / match
Played5Wins2Drawn1Losses2Points7

SignalHome matches over 2.5: 4/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
21%
Win probability excluding draw
61%
9
Points from supplied form
7
1.40
Expected goals
1.89
FC KontuMPS/Atletico Malmi
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Model and market agree on AWAY

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01FC Kontu signalHome won 3/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02MPS/Atletico Malmi signalHome matches over 2.5: 4/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk39% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Draw probability alone is 18%.

Match questions

FC Kontu vs MPS/Atletico Malmi FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Away win · Projected score 1–2 · 61% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

FC Kontu win 21%,Draw 18%,MPS/Atletico Malmi win 61%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 3.29 · Over 2.5 64% · Current selection Over