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FIN Finland Kolmonen · Final ·

LTU vs ACF

Prediction review

Domicile form
Final score4–1Pronostic 1–1
Extérieur form
Victoire à domicile58%
Nul21%
Victoire à l’extérieur21%
Full model forecastVictoire à domicileTier A · 58% selection probability
Prediction Gagné
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Model and market agree on HOME Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callVictoire à domicile58% selection probability
Projected score1–1LTUACF
Expected goals1.67Low-scoring match profile
Goals 2.5Moins de76% for the selected side
Les deux équipes marquentNon70% for the selected side
Expected corners10.2Plus de 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketSélectionProbabilitéCote juste
58% / 21% / 21%Résultat du matchVictoire à domicile58%1.72
Derived from 1X2 · excludes ACF win (20.8%)Double chance1X79.2%1.26
Plus de 24% · Moins de 76%Goals 2.5Moins de76%1.32
Oui 30% · Non 70%Les deux équipes marquentNon70%1.43
1.67 total expected goalsScore exact1–1
10.2 expected match cornersCornersPlus de 9.5
Price comparison

Published forecast vs reference market

Reference odds are converted to normalized probabilities. The gap is descriptive and is not a claim of guaranteed value.

Displayed margin10.7%Largest probability gapLTU winDifference-1.1 pp
OutcomePronosticCote justeReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
LTU win58%1.721.5359.1%-1.1 pp
Nul21%4.764.5020.1%+0.9 pp
ACF win21%4.764.3320.9%+0.1 pp

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

LTU1.09

Domicile share of expected goals 65.3%

Total expected goals1.67Low-scoring

Dedicated goals model: Plus de 24% · Moins de 76%

ACF0.58

Extérieur share of expected goals 34.7%

Projected score1–1BTTS splitOui 30% · Non 70%Match profileLow-scoring
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Domicile-context · form sequence

LTU

1.40pts / match
Joués5Wins2Drawn1Losses2Points7

SignalDomicile clean sheets: 2/5

Extérieur-context · form sequence

ACF

1.00pts / match
Joués5Wins1Drawn2Losses2Points5

SignalExtérieur matches over 2.5: 4/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
58%
Gagné probability excluding draw
21%
7
Points from supplied form
5
1.09
Expected goals
0.58
LTUACF
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Model and market agree on HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01LTU signalDomicile clean sheets: 2/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02ACF signalExtérieur matches over 2.5: 4/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk42% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Nul probability alone is 21%.

Match questions

LTU vs ACF FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Victoire à domicile · Projected score 1–1 · 58% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

LTU victoire 58%,Nul 21%,ACF victoire 21%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 1.67 · Plus de 2.5 24% · Current selection Moins de