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INT Tchéquie - 4. Liga · Match ·

FK Kozlovice vs Sternberk

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Domicile form
Projected score2–13.03 expected goals
Extérieur form
Victoire à domicile71%
Nul16%
Victoire à l’extérieur13%
Full model forecastVictoire à domicileTier A · 71% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Model and market agree on HOME Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callVictoire à domicile71% selection probability
Projected score2–1FK KozloviceSternberk
Expected goals3.03Balanced match profile
Goals 2.5Plus de58% for the selected side
Les deux équipes marquentNon61% for the selected side
Expected corners10.0Plus de 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketSélectionProbabilitéCote juste
71% / 16% / 13%Résultat du matchVictoire à domicile71%1.41
Derived from 1X2 · excludes Sternberk win (13%)Double chance1X87%1.15
Plus de 58% · Moins de 42%Goals 2.5Plus de58%1.72
Oui 39% · Non 61%Les deux équipes marquentNon61%1.64
3.03 total expected goalsScore exact2–1
10.0 expected match cornersCornersPlus de 9.5
Price comparison

Published forecast vs reference market

Reference odds are converted to normalized probabilities. The gap is descriptive and is not a claim of guaranteed value.

Displayed margin11.1%Largest probability gapFK Kozlovice winDifference+1.2 pp
OutcomePronosticCote justeReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
FK Kozlovice win71%1.411.2969.8%+1.2 pp
Nul16%6.255.5016.4%-0.4 pp
Sternberk win13%7.696.5013.8%-0.8 pp

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

FK Kozlovice2.47

Domicile share of expected goals 81.5%

Total expected goals3.03Balanced

Dedicated goals model: Plus de 58% · Moins de 42%

Sternberk0.56

Extérieur share of expected goals 18.5%

Projected score2–1BTTS splitOui 39% · Non 61%Match profileBalanced
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Domicile-context · form sequence

FK Kozlovice

2.00pts / match
Joués5Wins3Drawn1Losses1Points10

SignalDomicile unbeaten 4/5

Extérieur-context · form sequence

Sternberk

0.60pts / match
Joués5Wins0Drawn3Losses2Points3

SignalDomicile matches over 2.5: 5/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
71%
Gagné probability excluding draw
13%
10
Points from supplied form
3
2.47
Expected goals
0.56
FK KozloviceSternberk
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Model and market agree on HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01FK Kozlovice signalDomicile unbeaten 4/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Sternberk signalDomicile matches over 2.5: 5/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk29% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Nul probability alone is 16%.

Match questions

FK Kozlovice vs Sternberk FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Victoire à domicile · Projected score 2–1 · 71% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

FK Kozlovice victoire 71%,Nul 16%,Sternberk victoire 13%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 3.03 · Plus de 2.5 58% · Current selection Plus de