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INT Czechia 4. Liga · Fixture ·

FK Kozlovice vs Sternberk

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Home form
Projected score2–13.03 expected goals
Away form
Home win71%
Draw16%
Away win13%
Full model forecastHome winTier A · 71% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Model and market agree on HOME Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callHome win71% selection probability
Projected score2–1FK KozloviceSternberk
Expected goals3.03Balanced match profile
Goals 2.5Over58% for the selected side
Both teams scoreNo61% for the selected side
Expected corners10.0Over 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketSelectionProbabilityFair odds
71% / 16% / 13%Match resultHome win71%1.41
Derived from 1X2 · excludes Sternberk win (13%)Double chance1X87%1.15
Over 58% · Under 42%Goals 2.5Over58%1.72
Yes 39% · No 61%Both teams scoreNo61%1.64
3.03 total expected goalsCorrect score2–1
10.0 expected match cornersCornersOver 9.5
Price comparison

Published forecast vs reference market

Reference odds are converted to normalized probabilities. The gap is descriptive and is not a claim of guaranteed value.

Displayed margin11.1%Largest probability gapFK Kozlovice winDifference+1.2 pp
OutcomeForecastFair oddsReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
FK Kozlovice win71%1.411.2969.8%+1.2 pp
Draw16%6.255.5016.4%-0.4 pp
Sternberk win13%7.696.5013.8%-0.8 pp

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

FK Kozlovice2.47

Home share of expected goals 81.5%

Total expected goals3.03Balanced

Dedicated goals model: Over 58% · Under 42%

Sternberk0.56

Away share of expected goals 18.5%

Projected score2–1BTTS splitYes 39% · No 61%Match profileBalanced
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Home-context · form sequence

FK Kozlovice

2.00pts / match
Played5Wins3Drawn1Losses1Points10

SignalHome unbeaten 4/5

Away-context · form sequence

Sternberk

0.60pts / match
Played5Wins0Drawn3Losses2Points3

SignalHome matches over 2.5: 5/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
71%
Win probability excluding draw
13%
10
Points from supplied form
3
2.47
Expected goals
0.56
FK KozloviceSternberk
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Model and market agree on HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01FK Kozlovice signalHome unbeaten 4/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Sternberk signalHome matches over 2.5: 5/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk29% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Draw probability alone is 16%.

Match questions

FK Kozlovice vs Sternberk FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Home win · Projected score 2–1 · 71% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

FK Kozlovice win 71%,Draw 16%,Sternberk win 13%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 3.03 · Over 2.5 58% · Current selection Over