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INT Чехия - 4-та Лига · Мач ·

Козловице vs Стернберк

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Домакин form
Projected score2–13.03 expected goals
Гост form
Победа за домакина71%
Равен16%
Победа за госта13%
Full model forecastПобеда за домакинаTier A · 71% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Model and market agree on HOME Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callПобеда за домакина71% selection probability
Projected score2–1КозловицеСтернберк
Expected goals3.03Balanced match profile
Goals 2.5Над58% for the selected side
И двата отбора да отбележатНе61% for the selected side
Expected corners10.0Над 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketИзборВероятностСправедлив коефициент
71% / 16% / 13%Резултат от мачаПобеда за домакина71%1.41
Derived from 1X2 · excludes Стернберк win (13%)Двоен шанс1X87%1.15
Над 58% · Под 42%Goals 2.5Над58%1.72
Да 39% · Не 61%И двата отбора да отбележатНе61%1.64
3.03 total expected goalsТочен резултат2–1
10.0 expected match cornersКорнериНад 9.5
Price comparison

Published forecast vs reference market

Reference odds are converted to normalized probabilities. The gap is descriptive and is not a claim of guaranteed value.

Displayed margin11.1%Largest probability gapКозловице winDifference+1.2 pp
OutcomeПрогнозаСправедлив коефициентReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
Козловице win71%1.411.2969.8%+1.2 pp
Равен16%6.255.5016.4%-0.4 pp
Стернберк win13%7.696.5013.8%-0.8 pp

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Козловице2.47

Домакин share of expected goals 81.5%

Total expected goals3.03Balanced

Dedicated goals model: Над 58% · Под 42%

Стернберк0.56

Гост share of expected goals 18.5%

Projected score2–1BTTS splitДа 39% · Не 61%Match profileBalanced
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Домакин-context · form sequence

Козловице

2.00pts / match
Изиграни5Wins3Drawn1Losses1Точки10

SignalДомакин unbeaten 4/5

Гост-context · form sequence

Стернберк

0.60pts / match
Изиграни5Wins0Drawn3Losses2Точки3

SignalДомакин matches over 2.5: 5/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
71%
Печеливш probability excluding draw
13%
10
Points from supplied form
3
2.47
Expected goals
0.56
КозловицеСтернберк
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Model and market agree on HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Козловице signalДомакин unbeaten 4/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Стернберк signalДомакин matches over 2.5: 5/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk29% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Равен probability alone is 16%.

Match questions

Козловице vs Стернберк FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Победа за домакина · Projected score 2–1 · 71% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Козловице печеливш 71%,Равен 16%,Стернберк печеливш 13%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 3.03 · Над 2.5 58% · Current selection Над