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ISL Islande - Premier League · Match ·

Breidablik vs Stjarnan

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Domicile form
Projected score2–24.22 expected goals
Extérieur form
Victoire à domicile48%
Nul23%
Victoire à l’extérieur30%
Full model forecastVictoire à domicileTier A · 48% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Model and market agree on HOME Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callVictoire à domicile48% selection probability
Projected score2–2BreidablikStjarnan
Expected goals4.22Ouverture match profile
Goals 2.5Plus de79% for the selected side
Les deux équipes marquentOui76% for the selected side
Expected corners12.4Plus de 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketSélectionProbabilitéCote juste
48% / 23% / 30%Résultat du matchVictoire à domicile48%2.08
Derived from 1X2 · excludes draw (22.7%)Double chance1277.3%1.29
Plus de 79% · Moins de 21%Goals 2.5Plus de79%1.27
Oui 76% · Non 24%Les deux équipes marquentOui76%1.32
4.22 total expected goalsScore exact2–2
12.4 expected match cornersCornersPlus de 9.5
Price comparison

Published forecast vs reference market

Reference odds are converted to normalized probabilities. The gap is descriptive and is not a claim of guaranteed value.

Displayed margin11.3%Largest probability gapBreidablik winDifference+1.0 pp
OutcomePronosticCote justeReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
Breidablik win48%2.081.9147%+1.0 pp
Nul23%4.353.9023%0.0 pp
Stjarnan win30%3.333.0029.9%+0.1 pp

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Breidablik2.47

Domicile share of expected goals 58.5%

Total expected goals4.22Ouverture

Dedicated goals model: Plus de 79% · Moins de 21%

Stjarnan1.75

Extérieur share of expected goals 41.5%

Projected score2–2BTTS splitOui 76% · Non 24%Match profileOuverture
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Domicile-context · form sequence

Breidablik

0.80pts / match
Joués5Wins1Drawn1Losses3Points4

SignalDomicile matches over 2.5: 3/5

Extérieur-context · form sequence

Stjarnan

1.80pts / match
Joués5Wins3Drawn0Losses2Points9

SignalExtérieur won 3/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
48%
Gagné probability excluding draw
30%
4
Points from supplied form
9
2.47
Expected goals
1.75
BreidablikStjarnan
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Model and market agree on HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Breidablik signalDomicile matches over 2.5: 3/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Stjarnan signalExtérieur won 3/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk52% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Nul probability alone is 23%.

Match questions

Breidablik vs Stjarnan FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Victoire à domicile · Projected score 2–2 · 48% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Breidablik victoire 48%,Nul 23%,Stjarnan victoire 30%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 4.22 · Plus de 2.5 79% · Current selection Plus de