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ISL IJsland - Úrvalsdeild karla · Wedstrijd ·

Breidablik vs Stjarnan

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Thuis form
Projected score2–24.22 expected goals
Uit form
Thuiswinst48%
Gelijkspel23%
Uitwinst30%
Full model forecastThuiswinstTier A · 48% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Model and market agree on HOME Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callThuiswinst48% selection probability
Projected score2–2BreidablikStjarnan
Expected goals4.22Openen match profile
Goals 2.5Boven79% for the selected side
Beide teams scorenJa76% for the selected side
Expected corners12.4Boven 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketSelectieWaarschijnlijkheidEerlijke odds
48% / 23% / 30%WedstrijdresultaatThuiswinst48%2.08
Derived from 1X2 · excludes draw (22.7%)Dubbele Kans1277.3%1.29
Boven 79% · Onder 21%Goals 2.5Boven79%1.27
Ja 76% · Nee 24%Beide teams scorenJa76%1.32
4.22 total expected goalsExacte score2–2
12.4 expected match cornersHoekschoppenBoven 9.5
Price comparison

Published forecast vs reference market

Reference odds are converted to normalized probabilities. The gap is descriptive and is not a claim of guaranteed value.

Displayed margin11.3%Largest probability gapBreidablik winDifference+1.0 pp
OutcomeVoorspellingEerlijke oddsReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
Breidablik win48%2.081.9147%+1.0 pp
Gelijkspel23%4.353.9023%0.0 pp
Stjarnan win30%3.333.0029.9%+0.1 pp

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Breidablik2.47

Thuis share of expected goals 58.5%

Total expected goals4.22Openen

Dedicated goals model: Boven 79% · Onder 21%

Stjarnan1.75

Uit share of expected goals 41.5%

Projected score2–2BTTS splitJa 76% · Nee 24%Match profileOpenen
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Thuis-context · form sequence

Breidablik

0.80pts / match
Gespeeld5Wins1Drawn1Losses3Punten4

SignalThuis matches over 2.5: 3/5

Uit-context · form sequence

Stjarnan

1.80pts / match
Gespeeld5Wins3Drawn0Losses2Punten9

SignalUit won 3/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
48%
Gewonnen probability excluding draw
30%
4
Points from supplied form
9
2.47
Expected goals
1.75
BreidablikStjarnan
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Model and market agree on HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Breidablik signalThuis matches over 2.5: 3/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Stjarnan signalUit won 3/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk52% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Gelijkspel probability alone is 23%.

Match questions

Breidablik vs Stjarnan FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Thuiswinst · Projected score 2–2 · 48% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Breidablik gewonnen 48%,Gelijkspel 23%,Stjarnan gewonnen 30%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 4.22 · Boven 2.5 79% · Current selection Boven