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WAL Pays de Galles - Championship North · Match ·

Newtown vs Penrhyncoch

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Domicile form
Projected score2–13.20 expected goals
Extérieur form
Victoire à domicile58%
Nul20%
Victoire à l’extérieur22%
Full model forecastVictoire à domicileTier A · 58% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Model and market agree on HOME Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callVictoire à domicile58% selection probability
Projected score2–1NewtownPenrhyncoch
Expected goals3.20Ouverture match profile
Goals 2.5Plus de62% for the selected side
Les deux équipes marquentOui61% for the selected side
Expected corners9.6Moins de 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketSélectionProbabilitéCote juste
58% / 20% / 22%Résultat du matchVictoire à domicile58%1.72
Derived from 1X2 · excludes draw (20.2%)Double chance1279.8%1.25
Plus de 62% · Moins de 38%Goals 2.5Plus de62%1.61
Oui 61% · Non 39%Les deux équipes marquentOui61%1.64
3.20 total expected goalsScore exact2–1
9.6 expected match cornersCornersMoins de 9.5
Price comparison

Published forecast vs reference market

Reference odds are converted to normalized probabilities. The gap is descriptive and is not a claim of guaranteed value.

Displayed margin11.1%Largest probability gapNewtown winDifference-0.1 pp
OutcomePronosticCote justeReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
Newtown win58%1.721.5558.1%-0.1 pp
Nul20%5.004.5020%0.0 pp
Penrhyncoch win22%4.554.1021.9%+0.1 pp

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Newtown1.97

Domicile share of expected goals 61.6%

Total expected goals3.20Ouverture

Dedicated goals model: Plus de 62% · Moins de 38%

Penrhyncoch1.23

Extérieur share of expected goals 38.4%

Projected score2–1BTTS splitOui 61% · Non 39%Match profileOuverture
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Domicile-context · form sequence

Newtown

1.20pts / match
Joués5Wins2Drawn0Losses3Points6

SignalDomicile matches over 2.5: 5/5

Extérieur-context · form sequence

Penrhyncoch

1.80pts / match
Joués5Wins3Drawn0Losses2Points9

SignalExtérieur won 3/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
58%
Gagné probability excluding draw
22%
6
Points from supplied form
9
1.97
Expected goals
1.23
NewtownPenrhyncoch
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Model and market agree on HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Newtown signalDomicile matches over 2.5: 5/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Penrhyncoch signalExtérieur won 3/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk42% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Nul probability alone is 20%.

Match questions

Newtown vs Penrhyncoch FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Victoire à domicile · Projected score 2–1 · 58% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Newtown victoire 58%,Nul 20%,Penrhyncoch victoire 22%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 3.20 · Plus de 2.5 62% · Current selection Plus de