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WAL Pays de Galles - Championship North · Match ·

Holyhead Hotspur vs Brickfield Rangers

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Domicile form
Projected score2–12.77 expected goals
Extérieur form
Victoire à domicile38%
Nul24%
Victoire à l’extérieur38%
Full model forecastVictoire à l’extérieurTier A · 38% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Market-aware blend leans AWAY; raw model leaned HOME Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callVictoire à l’extérieur38% selection probability
Projected score2–1Holyhead HotspurBrickfield Rangers
Expected goals2.77Balanced match profile
Goals 2.5Plus de52% for the selected side
Les deux équipes marquentOui55% for the selected side
Expected corners9.7Moins de 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketSélectionProbabilitéCote juste
38% / 24% / 38%Résultat du matchVictoire à l’extérieur38%2.63
Derived from 1X2 · excludes draw (24.4%)Double chance1275.6%1.32
Plus de 52% · Moins de 48%Goals 2.5Plus de52%1.92
Oui 55% · Non 45%Les deux équipes marquentOui55%1.82
2.77 total expected goalsScore exact2–1
9.7 expected match cornersCornersMoins de 9.5
Price comparison

Published forecast vs reference market

Reference odds are converted to normalized probabilities. The gap is descriptive and is not a claim of guaranteed value.

Displayed margin11.3%Largest probability gapHolyhead Hotspur winDifference+1.3 pp
OutcomePronosticCote justeReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
Holyhead Hotspur win38%2.632.4536.7%+1.3 pp
Nul24%4.173.7024.3%-0.3 pp
Brickfield Rangers win38%2.632.3039.1%-1.1 pp

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Holyhead Hotspur1.66

Domicile share of expected goals 59.9%

Total expected goals2.77Balanced

Dedicated goals model: Plus de 52% · Moins de 48%

Brickfield Rangers1.11

Extérieur share of expected goals 40.1%

Projected score2–1BTTS splitOui 55% · Non 45%Match profileBalanced
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Domicile-context · form sequence

Holyhead Hotspur

2.60pts / match
Joués5Wins4Drawn1Losses0Points13

SignalDomicile unbeaten 5/5

Extérieur-context · form sequence

Brickfield Rangers

2.40pts / match
Joués5Wins4Drawn0Losses1Points12

SignalDomicile matches over 2.5: 3/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
38%
Gagné probability excluding draw
38%
13
Points from supplied form
12
1.66
Expected goals
1.11
Holyhead HotspurBrickfield Rangers
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Market-aware blend leans AWAY; raw model leaned HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Holyhead Hotspur signalDomicile unbeaten 5/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Brickfield Rangers signalDomicile matches over 2.5: 3/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk62% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Nul probability alone is 24%.

Match questions

Holyhead Hotspur vs Brickfield Rangers FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Victoire à l’extérieur · Projected score 2–1 · 38% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Holyhead Hotspur victoire 38%,Nul 24%,Brickfield Rangers victoire 38%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 2.77 · Plus de 2.5 52% · Current selection Plus de