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WAL Уелс - Чемпиъншип Север · Мач ·

Нютаун vs Пенринкох

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Домакин form
Projected score2–13.20 expected goals
Гост form
Победа за домакина60%
Равен20%
Победа за госта20%
Full model forecastПобеда за домакинаTier A · 60% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Model and market agree on HOME Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callПобеда за домакина60% selection probability
Projected score2–1НютаунПенринкох
Expected goals3.20Откриване match profile
Goals 2.5Над62% for the selected side
И двата отбора да отбележатДа61% for the selected side
Expected corners9.6Под 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketИзборВероятностСправедлив коефициент
60% / 20% / 20%Резултат от мачаПобеда за домакина60%1.67
Derived from 1X2 · excludes draw (20.2%)Двоен шанс1279.8%1.25
Над 62% · Под 38%Goals 2.5Над62%1.61
Да 61% · Не 39%И двата отбора да отбележатДа61%1.64
3.20 total expected goalsТочен резултат2–1
9.6 expected match cornersКорнериПод 9.5
Price comparison

Published forecast vs reference market

Reference odds are converted to normalized probabilities. The gap is descriptive and is not a claim of guaranteed value.

Displayed margin11.1%Largest probability gapНютаун winDifference0.0 pp
OutcomeПрогнозаСправедлив коефициентReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
Нютаун win60%1.671.5060%0.0 pp
Равен20%5.004.5020%0.0 pp
Пенринкох win20%5.004.5020%0.0 pp

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Нютаун1.97

Домакин share of expected goals 61.6%

Total expected goals3.20Откриване

Dedicated goals model: Над 62% · Под 38%

Пенринкох1.23

Гост share of expected goals 38.4%

Projected score2–1BTTS splitДа 61% · Не 39%Match profileОткриване
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Домакин-context · form sequence

Нютаун

1.20pts / match
Изиграни5Wins2Drawn0Losses3Точки6

SignalДомакин matches over 2.5: 5/5

Гост-context · form sequence

Пенринкох

1.80pts / match
Изиграни5Wins3Drawn0Losses2Точки9

SignalГост won 3/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
60%
Печеливш probability excluding draw
20%
6
Points from supplied form
9
1.97
Expected goals
1.23
НютаунПенринкох
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Model and market agree on HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Нютаун signalДомакин matches over 2.5: 5/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Пенринкох signalГост won 3/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk40% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Равен probability alone is 20%.

Match questions

Нютаун vs Пенринкох FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Победа за домакина · Projected score 2–1 · 60% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Нютаун печеливш 60%,Равен 20%,Пенринкох печеливш 20%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 3.20 · Над 2.5 62% · Current selection Над