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WAL Galles - Championship North · Partita ·

Newtown vs Penrhyncoch

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Casa form
Projected score2–13.20 expected goals
Trasferta form
Vittoria casa58%
Pareggio20%
Vittoria ospite22%
Full model forecastVittoria casaTier A · 58% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Model and market agree on HOME Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callVittoria casa58% selection probability
Projected score2–1NewtownPenrhyncoch
Expected goals3.20Apertura match profile
Goals 2.5Sopra62% for the selected side
Entrambe le squadre segnano61% for the selected side
Expected corners9.6Sotto 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketSelezioneProbabilitàQuote eque
58% / 20% / 22%Esito partitaVittoria casa58%1.72
Derived from 1X2 · excludes draw (20.2%)Doppia Chance1279.8%1.25
Sopra 62% · Sotto 38%Goals 2.5Sopra62%1.61
Sì 61% · No 39%Entrambe le squadre segnano61%1.64
3.20 total expected goalsRisultato esatto2–1
9.6 expected match cornersCornerSotto 9.5
Price comparison

Published forecast vs reference market

Reference odds are converted to normalized probabilities. The gap is descriptive and is not a claim of guaranteed value.

Displayed margin11.1%Largest probability gapNewtown winDifference-0.1 pp
OutcomePronosticoQuote equeReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
Newtown win58%1.721.5558.1%-0.1 pp
Pareggio20%5.004.5020%0.0 pp
Penrhyncoch win22%4.554.1021.9%+0.1 pp

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Newtown1.97

Casa share of expected goals 61.6%

Total expected goals3.20Apertura

Dedicated goals model: Sopra 62% · Sotto 38%

Penrhyncoch1.23

Trasferta share of expected goals 38.4%

Projected score2–1BTTS split 61% · No 39%Match profileApertura
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Casa-context · form sequence

Newtown

1.20pts / match
Giocate5Wins2Drawn0Losses3Punti6

SignalCasa matches over 2.5: 5/5

Trasferta-context · form sequence

Penrhyncoch

1.80pts / match
Giocate5Wins3Drawn0Losses2Punti9

SignalTrasferta won 3/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
58%
Vinta probability excluding draw
22%
6
Points from supplied form
9
1.97
Expected goals
1.23
NewtownPenrhyncoch
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Model and market agree on HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Newtown signalCasa matches over 2.5: 5/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Penrhyncoch signalTrasferta won 3/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk42% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Pareggio probability alone is 20%.

Match questions

Newtown vs Penrhyncoch FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Vittoria casa · Projected score 2–1 · 58% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Newtown vinta 58%,Pareggio 20%,Penrhyncoch vinta 22%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 3.20 · Sopra 2.5 62% · Current selection Sopra