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ARG Argentina Nacional B · Match ·

San Martin Tucuman vs San Martin SJ

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Domicile form
Projected score1–11.96 expected goals
Extérieur form
Victoire à domicile47%
Nul32%
Victoire à l’extérieur21%
Full model forecastVictoire à domicileTier A · 47% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Model and market agree on HOME Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callVictoire à domicile47% selection probability
Projected score1–1San Martin TucumanSan Martin SJ
Expected goals1.96Low-scoring match profile
Goals 2.5Moins de69% for the selected side
Les deux équipes marquentNon64% for the selected side
Expected corners7.9Moins de 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketSélectionProbabilitéCote juste
47% / 32% / 21%Résultat du matchVictoire à domicile47%2.13
Derived from 1X2 · excludes San Martin SJ win (20.7%)Double chance1X79.3%1.26
Plus de 31% · Moins de 69%Goals 2.5Moins de69%1.45
Oui 36% · Non 64%Les deux équipes marquentNon64%1.56
1.96 total expected goalsScore exact1–1
7.9 expected match cornersCornersMoins de 9.5
Price comparison

Published forecast vs reference market

Reference odds are converted to normalized probabilities. The gap is descriptive and is not a claim of guaranteed value.

Displayed margin6.7%Largest probability gapDrawDifference-0.3 pp
OutcomePronosticCote justeReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
San Martin Tucuman win47%2.132.0046.9%+0.1 pp
Nul32%3.132.9032.3%-0.3 pp
San Martin SJ win21%4.764.5020.8%+0.2 pp

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

San Martin Tucuman1.29

Domicile share of expected goals 65.8%

Total expected goals1.96Low-scoring

Dedicated goals model: Plus de 31% · Moins de 69%

San Martin SJ0.67

Extérieur share of expected goals 34.2%

Projected score1–1BTTS splitOui 36% · Non 64%Match profileLow-scoring
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Domicile-context · form sequence

San Martin Tucuman

1.40pts / match
Joués5Wins2Drawn1Losses2Points7

SignalDomicile matches over 2.5: 3/5

Extérieur-context · form sequence

San Martin SJ

1.40pts / match
Joués5Wins2Drawn1Losses2Points7

SignalDomicile clean sheets: 3/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
47%
Gagné probability excluding draw
21%
7
Points from supplied form
7
1.29
Expected goals
0.67
San Martin TucumanSan Martin SJ
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Model and market agree on HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01San Martin Tucuman signalDomicile matches over 2.5: 3/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02San Martin SJ signalDomicile clean sheets: 3/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk53% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Nul probability alone is 32%.

Match questions

San Martin Tucuman vs San Martin SJ FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Victoire à domicile · Projected score 1–1 · 47% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

San Martin Tucuman victoire 47%,Nul 32%,San Martin SJ victoire 21%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 1.96 · Plus de 2.5 31% · Current selection Moins de