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ARG Argentina Nacional B · Partita ·

San Martin de Tucuman vs San Martin SJ

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Casa form
Projected score1–11.96 expected goals
Trasferta form
Vittoria casa47%
Pareggio32%
Vittoria ospite21%
Full model forecastVittoria casaTier A · 47% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Model and market agree on HOME Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callVittoria casa47% selection probability
Projected score1–1San Martin de TucumanSan Martin SJ
Expected goals1.96Low-scoring match profile
Goals 2.5Sotto69% for the selected side
Entrambe le squadre segnanoNo64% for the selected side
Expected corners7.9Sotto 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketSelezioneProbabilitàQuote eque
47% / 32% / 21%Esito partitaVittoria casa47%2.13
Derived from 1X2 · excludes San Martin SJ win (20.7%)Doppia Chance1X79.3%1.26
Sopra 31% · Sotto 69%Goals 2.5Sotto69%1.45
Sì 36% · No 64%Entrambe le squadre segnanoNo64%1.56
1.96 total expected goalsRisultato esatto1–1
7.9 expected match cornersCornerSotto 9.5
Price comparison

Published forecast vs reference market

Reference odds are converted to normalized probabilities. The gap is descriptive and is not a claim of guaranteed value.

Displayed margin6.7%Largest probability gapDrawDifference-0.3 pp
OutcomePronosticoQuote equeReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
San Martin de Tucuman win47%2.132.0046.9%+0.1 pp
Pareggio32%3.132.9032.3%-0.3 pp
San Martin SJ win21%4.764.5020.8%+0.2 pp

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

San Martin de Tucuman1.29

Casa share of expected goals 65.8%

Total expected goals1.96Low-scoring

Dedicated goals model: Sopra 31% · Sotto 69%

San Martin SJ0.67

Trasferta share of expected goals 34.2%

Projected score1–1BTTS split 36% · No 64%Match profileLow-scoring
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Casa-context · form sequence

San Martin de Tucuman

1.40pts / match
Giocate5Wins2Drawn1Losses2Punti7

SignalCasa matches over 2.5: 3/5

Trasferta-context · form sequence

San Martin SJ

1.40pts / match
Giocate5Wins2Drawn1Losses2Punti7

SignalCasa clean sheets: 3/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
47%
Vinta probability excluding draw
21%
7
Points from supplied form
7
1.29
Expected goals
0.67
San Martin de TucumanSan Martin SJ
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Model and market agree on HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01San Martin de Tucuman signalCasa matches over 2.5: 3/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02San Martin SJ signalCasa clean sheets: 3/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk53% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Pareggio probability alone is 32%.

Match questions

San Martin de Tucuman vs San Martin SJ FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Vittoria casa · Projected score 1–1 · 47% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

San Martin de Tucuman vinta 47%,Pareggio 32%,San Martin SJ vinta 21%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 1.96 · Sopra 2.5 31% · Current selection Sotto